Assessing the implications of policy options for the military personnel budget : an analytic framework for evaluating costs and trade-offs / Matthew Wlash, Thomas Light, Raymond E. Conley.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Walsh, Matthew, author.

Light, T. (Thomas), author.

Conley, Raymond E., author.

Series:

Research report (Rand Corporation) ; RR-A1218-1.

Research report ; RR-A1218-1

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

United States. Air Force--Pay, allowances, etc.

United States.

United States. Air Force--Appropriations and expenditures--Evaluation.

United States. Air Force--Personnel management.

Budget--United States.

Budget.

Fiscal policy--United States.

Fiscal policy.

Physical Description:

x, 62 pages : illustrations (some color) ; 28 cm.

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND Corporation, [2023]

Summary:

Since 2000, spending on military personnel (MILPERS) has grown at an average annual rate of 3.3 percent to approximately $36 billion in 2021. This outpaced growth in prices in the overall economy, which averaged 1.9 percent per year for the same period. To ensure a ready workforce without undercutting modernization efforts, the U.S. Department of the Air Force (DAF) must explore options to maximize MILPERS affordability. At the same time, it must consider the nonmonetary trade-offs and risks that these options entail. A new analytic framework allows users to view savings, trade-offs, and risks of different solution options alongside one another.

Contents:

Machine generated contents note: ch. 1 Introduction

Background

Conceptual Framework for Examining Policies to Limit Growth in the MILPERS Budget

Research Approach

Organization of the Report

ch. 2 Drivers of MILPERS Spending

Standard Composite Rates for Active Duty Personnel

Personnel Costs Not Included in MILPERS

Conceptual Link Between Policy Options and MILPERS Components

Summary

ch. 3 Historical and Cross-Service Analysis of MILPERS Spending

DAF MILPERS Spending over Time

Comparison of DAF and Other Services' Spending on MILPERS

ch. 4 Analytic Framework for Evaluating Implications of Milpers Affordability Efforts

Components of the Analytic Tool

Analytic Tool Outputs

Solution Space

ch. 5 Application of the Analytic Tool

Simulation 1 Reduce Total End Strength

Simulation 2 Increase the Number of Enlisted Personnel per Officer

Simulation 3 Modify Grade Structures

Simulation 4 Reduce Compensation

Simulation 5 Reduce High Year of Tenure

Simulation 6 Reduce the Percentage of Enlisted Personnel Entering with Advanced Rank

Simulation 7 Shift Competitive Officer Promotion Windows

Simulation 8 Civilianize Officer Acquisition and STEM Positions

Chapter Summary and Discussion

ch. 6 Conclusion

Key Findings

Recommendations.

Notes:

"Prepared for the Department of the Air Force".

Includes bibliographical references.

ISBN:

1977410146

9781977410146

OCLC:

1361679159