Anticipating Rare Events of Major Significance : Proceedings of a Workshop.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.

National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, author.

Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, author.

Intelligence Community Studies Board, author.

Contributor:

Sciences, Division on Engineering and Physical.

Board, Intelligence Community Studies.

Hamilton, Liza.

Alper, Joe.

Division on Engineering and Physical Sciences, author.

Intelligence Community Studies Board, author.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Risk assessment.

Emergency management.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (65 pages)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Washington, D.C. : National Academies Press, 2022.

Summary:

The Intelligence Community Studies Board of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine convened a 2-day virtual workshop on December 17 and 21, 2021, to explore insights from world-class experts and technologists familiar with the extensive range of issues associated with anticipating rare events?those characterized by a very low probability of occurring?of major significance. Over the course of the 2-day workshop, the speakers discussed analytical methods, computational advances, data sources, and risk assessment approaches for anticipating rare events, including natural disasters, pandemics, anthropogenic threats, and widespread technological change. This proceedings is a factual summary of the presentations and discussion of the workshop.

Contents:

Intro

Front Matter

1 Introduction and Overview

2 Mathematical Foundations for Anticipating Rare Events

3 Detection, Indications, and Warnings

4 Planning, Forecasting, and Intelligence Preparation

5 Fireside Chat-Using Artificial Intelligence to Predict the Occurrence of Sepsis

6 Fireside Chat-Rare Events and Insurance

7 Multisource Information Fusion, Situation Assessment, and Course of Action Selection

8 Active Prevention and Deterrence

9 Concluding Remarks

Appendixes

Appendix A: Statement of Task

Appendix B: Workshop Agenda

Appendix C: Planning Committee Biographies

Appendix D: Speaker Biographies.

Notes:

Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.

Part of the metadata in this record was created by AI, based on the text of the resource.

Other Format:

Print version: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine Anticipating Rare Events of Major Significance

ISBN:

9780309693097

0309693098

9780309693073

0309693071

OCLC:

1347026802