Emerging Technology Beyond 2035 : Scenario-Based Technology Assessment for Future Military Contingencies / Bryan Boling, Benjamin Boudreaux, Alexis A. Blanc, Christy Foran, Edward Geist, Moon Kim, Kelly Klima, Erin N. Leidy, Samantha McBirney, Danielle C. Tarraf.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Boling, Bryan (Aerospace engineer), author.

Boudreaux, Benjamin, author.

Blanc, Alexis A., author.

Foran, Christy M., author.

Geist, Edward, author.

Kim, Moon, author.

Klima, Kelly, author.

Leidy, Erin N., author.

McBirney, Samantha, author.

Tarraf, Danielle C., author.

Contributor:

United States. Army

James A. Crawford Memorial Fund.

Arroyo Center. Strategy, Doctrine, and Resources Program

Rand Corporation

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Military art and science--Technological innovations--United States--Forecasting.

Military art and science.

United States. Army--Forecasting.

United States.

Military art and science--Technological innovations--United States.

War--Forecasting.

War.

Physical Description:

xvii, 99 pages : color illustrations ; 23 cm

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, CA : RAND, [2022]

Summary:

The future is highly uncertain-however, it is important for the Army to try to anticipate future global developments and technological changes. The objective of this forecasting work is to assist the U.S. Army in preparing for shifting operational environments, including environments it might not have faced extensively in the past, such as in extreme weather conditions driven by climate change. In these and other operating conditions, emerging technologies might help the Army succeed in key missions and promote U.S. interests. Forecasting could also help the Army better understand and anticipate the types of conflicts it might face, along with the characteristics of key adversaries, and the operational-level challenges that could be in play. Preparing and planning for future contingencies are especially important in the context of scarce resources in an austere budget environment where the Army already today needs to make difficult decisions about how it dedicates its resources. This report presents the development and implementation of a technology road-mapping process to help the Army understand the implications of key emerging technologies that could be crucial to Army missions in the years 2035 to 2050. This work aims to assist the Army for shifting operational environments, such as operations in extreme weather conditions. Emerging technologies might help the Army succeed in key missions and promote U.S. interests.

Contents:

CHAPTER ONE: Introduction

CHAPTER TWO: Worldbuilding for Future Contingencies

CHAPTER THREE: Technology Assessments for Future Contingencies

CHAPTER FOUR: Insights and Recommendations

APPENDIX A: Prioritized Scenario Descriptions

APPENDIX B: Sample Assessment Activity: Technology Matching

APPENDIX C: Battle of the Arctic Depths Technology Research.

Notes:

Title from PDF document (title page; viewed August 15, 2022)

"Prepared for the United States Army"

"RAND Arroyo Center"

Includes bibliographical references (pages 91-99)

Local Notes:

Acquired for the Penn Libraries with assistance from the James A. Crawford Memorial Fund.

ISBN:

9781977409997

1977409997

OCLC:

1344302225