China-Russia Cooperation : Determining Factors, Future Trajectories, Implications for the United States / Andrew Radin, Andrew Scobell, Elina Treyger, J.D. Williams, Logan Ma, Howard J. Shatz, Sean M. Zeigler, Eugeniu Han, Clint Reach.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Radin, Andrew, author.

Scobell, Andrew, author.

Treyger, Elina, author.

Williams, J.D. (RAND Coporation), author.

Ma, Logan, author.

Shatz, Howard J., author.

Zeigler, Sean, author.

Han, Eugeniu, author.

Reach, Clint, author.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

China.

Russia--Foreign relations--China.

Russia.

International relations.

China--Foreign relations--Russia.

China--Foreign relations--United States.

United States.

Russia--Foreign relations--United States.

United States--Foreign relations--China.

United States--Foreign relations--Russia.

International economic relations.

Physical Description:

xxv, 296 pages : color illustrations ; 23 cm

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, Calif. : Rand Corporation, 2021.

Summary:

China and Russia are perceived as major, long-term competitors with the United States. Since 2014, China and Russia have strengthened their relationship, increasing political, military, and economic cooperation. In this report, the authors seek to understand the history of cooperation between Beijing and Moscow, the drivers of and constraints on the relationship, the potential future of cooperation between China and Russia, the impact of the Chinese-Russian relationship on the United States, and implications for future U.S. policy. The authors find that the main motivations for closer 21st century cooperation between China and Russia are the declining relative power of the United States and the persistent perceived threat from the United States to both China and Russia. If current trends continue, the authors expect the collaborative relationship between China and Russia to be sustained. Absent major (and likely undesirable) changes in U.S. policy, there is little the U.S. government or Army can do to influence the trajectory of the China-Russia relationship. The U.S. military can prepare for the results of greater Sino-Russian cooperation, including by expecting further diffusion of Chinese and Russian military equipment, additional joint planning and exercises, potential joint basing, and eventually the possibility of joint military operations.--page 4 of cover.

Contents:

Machine generated contents note: ch. One Introduction

Approach and Methodology

Measuring China and Russia's Relationship

Explaining the Relationship

Views Within China and Russia

Future Scenarios

Concerns and Implications for U.S. Policy

ch. Two History of Sino-Soviet and Sino-Russian Relations, 1949

1997

"Lean to One Side": 1950s

Sino-Soviet Split: 1960

To the Precipice of War: 1969

Triangular Diplomacy: 1970s

Sino-Soviet Reconciliation: Mid-1980s

Crisis of Communism: 1989

1991 and Aftermath

Concluding Thoughts: Half-Century of Cooperation and Conflict

ch. Three Describing and Explaining Change in the Sino-Russian Relationship, 1997

2007

The Evolution of Normalization: 1997

2002

Moving from Strategic Coordination to Strategic Partnership: 2002

Conclusion

ch. Four Describing and Explaining Change in the Sino-Russian Relationship, 2007

2017

The Partnership Plateaus: 2007

2012

Solidifying the Strategic Partnership: 2012

ch. Five Conclusion

Analysis of Which Factors Mattered over Time

Future Scenarios of Cooperation and Potential Impacts on U.S. Interests

Implications for the U.S. Government and Army

APPENDIXES

A. Research Methodology

B. Russian Perspectives on Russia's Relationship with China

C. Chinese Perspectives on China's Relationship with Russia.

Notes:

"RR-3067-A" -- Page 4 of cover.

Prepared for the United States Army.

Includes bibliographical references (pages 269-296).

ISBN:

1977404405

9781977404404

OCLC:

1264711306