Explaining the evidence : how the mind investigates the world / David A. Lagnado.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Lagnado, David A., 1962- author.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Evidence--Psychological aspects.

Evidence.

Cognition.

Judgment.

Reasoning (Psychology).

Psychological aspects.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (xix, 306 pages) : digital, PDF file(s)

Place of Publication:

Cambridge : Cambridge University Press, 2022.

System Details:

text file

PDF

Summary:

How do we make sense of complex evidence? What are the cognitive principles that allow detectives to solve crimes, and lay people to puzzle out everyday problems? To address these questions, David Lagnado presents a novel perspective on human reasoning. At heart, we are causal thinkers driven to explain the myriad ways in which people behave and interact. We build mental models of the world, enabling us to infer patterns of cause and effect, linking words to deeds, actions to effects, and crimes to evidence. But building models is not enough; we need to evaluate these models against evidence, and we often struggle with this task. We have a knack for explaining, but less skill at evaluating. Fortunately, we can improve our reasoning by reflecting on inferential practices and using formal tools. This book presents a system of rational inference that helps us evaluate our models and make sounder judgments.

Contents:

The Cliff Death The Cliff Death The Cliff Death

Models in Mind Models in Mind Models in Mind

Causal Modelling Causal Modelling Causal Modelling

Thinking Beyond Biases Thinking Beyond Biases Thinking Beyond Biases

Expert Reasoning in Crime Investigation Expert Reasoning in Crime Investigation Expert Reasoning in Crime Investigation

Questions of Evidence Questions of Evidence Questions of Evidence

Competing Causes Competing Causes Competing Causes

Confirmation Bias: Good, Bad and Ugly Confirmation Bias: Good, Bad and Ugly Confirmation Bias: Good, Bad and Ugly

Telling Stories Telling Stories Telling Stories

Idioms for Legal Reasoning Idioms for Legal Reasoning Idioms for Legal Reasoning

Causal Reasoning in a Time of Crisis Causal Reasoning in a Time of Crisis Causal Reasoning in a Time of Crisis.

Notes:

Title from publisher's bibliographic system (viewed on 20 Oct 2021).

Other Format:

Print version:

ISBN:

9780511794520

Access Restriction:

Restricted for use by site license.