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A Ricardian Analysis of the Distribution of Climate Change Impacts On Agriculture Across Agro-Ecological Zones in Africa / Seo, S. Niggol
World Bank Open Knowledge Repository (formerly "World Bank E-Library Publications") Available online
View online- Format:
- Book
- Government document
- Author/Creator:
- Seo, Sungno Niggol.
- Series:
- Policy research working papers.
- World Bank e-Library.
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Climate.
- Climate Change.
- Common Property Resource Development.
- Environment.
- Forestry.
- Global Environment.
- Global warming.
- Greenhouse gas.
- Greenhouse gas emissions.
- Greenhouse gases.
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
- IPCC.
- Rural Development.
- Soil.
- Local Subjects:
- Climate.
- Climate Change.
- Common Property Resource Development.
- Environment.
- Forestry.
- Global Environment.
- Global warming.
- Greenhouse gas.
- Greenhouse gas emissions.
- Greenhouse gases.
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
- IPCC.
- Rural Development.
- Soil.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (30 pages)
- Place of Publication:
- Washington, D.C., The World Bank, 2008
- System Details:
- data file
- Summary:
- This paper examines the distribution of climate change impacts across the 16 agro-ecological zones in Africa using data from the Food and Agriculture Organization combined with economic survey data from a Global Environment Facility/World Bank project. Net revenue per hectare of cropland is regressed on a set of climate, soil, and socio-economic variables using different econometric specifications "with" and "without" country fixed effects. Country fixed effects slightly reduce predicted future climate related damage to agriculture. With a mild climate scenario, African farmers gain income from climate change; with a more severe scenario, they lose income. Some locations are more affected than others. The analysis of agro-ecological zones implies that the effects of climate change will vary across Africa. For example, currently productive areas such as dry/moist savannah are more vulnerable to climate change while currently less productive agricultural zones such as humid forest or sub-humid zones become more productive in the future. The agro-ecological zone classification can help explain the variation of impacts across the landscape.
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