Beyond frozen conflict : scenarios for the separatist disputes of Eastern Europe / Thomas de Waal, Nikolaus von Twickel ; edited by Michael Emerson.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

De Waal, Thomas, author.

Von Twickel, Nikolaus, author.

Contributor:

Emerson, Michael, editor.

ProQuest ebook central.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Europe, Eastern--Politics and government--1989-.

Europe, Eastern.

Eastern Europe.

Politics and government.

Pacific settlement of international disputes.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (171 pages)

polychrome

Place of Publication:

Brussels : CEPS ; London : Rowman & Littlefield International, [2020]

System Details:

text file

Contents:

Intro

Preface

1. Introduction and Recommendations

1.1 Scenarios

1.2 Thinking in the long term

1.3 Policy recommendations

Policy recommendations for the European Union: regarding Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine

2. Scenarios for the future of eastern Europe's unresolved conflicts

2.1 Introduction

the Ukraine effect

2.2 Overarching conditions

2.2.1 Frozen diplomacy?

2.2.2 Russia

2.2.3 Stronger nations

2.2.4 European Union

2.2.5 Potential for incremental change

2.3 Scenarios

2.3.1 Donbas scenarios

2.3.2 Transdniestria scenarios

2.3.3 Abkhazia scenarios

2.3.4 South Ossetia scenarios

2.3.5 Nagorny Karabakh scenarios

2.4 Conclusions

3. The State of the Donbas: A study of eastern Ukraine's separatist-held areas

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Politics

3.2.1 The People's Republics' creation

3.2.2 Operation Girkin

3.2.3 Russification and de-russification

3.2.4 Agents rather than actors

3.2.5 Parties and parliaments

3.2.6 Large bureaucracies with little control

3.2.7 Leadership changes

the Luhansk putsch

3.2.8 The killing of Alexander Zakharchenko

3.2.9 External Relations

3.2.10 Relations with Russia

3.2.11 Relations with the rest of Ukraine

3.3 Economy

3.3.1 Decline set in long before 2014

3.3.2 The trade blockade of 2017

3.3.3 The coal industry

3.3.4 Brain drain

demographic catastrophe?

3.3.5 Is Moscow subsidising a black hole?

3.3.6 Low wages and humble pensions

3.3.7 The rise of Vneshtorgservis and Serhiy Kurchenko

3.3.8 Return of the oligarchs?

3.3.9 The Luhansk 'People's Republic'

a different case?

3.4 Society

3.4.1 No ethnic conflict

3.4.2 Social cohesion

3.4.3 How popular are the 'People's Republics'?

3.4.4 The Media

3.4.5 Human rights: The MGBs and dissent

3.4.6 International isolation

3.5 Security

3.5.1 The armed formations' formation

3.5.2 Asymmetric mutual deterrence

3.5.3 The fighting along the Contact Line

3.5.4 Disengagement

3.5.5 International Presence: The OSCE Mission

3.5.6 Prospects for a peacekeeping mission

3.5.7 Limits for a peacekeeping mission

3.6 Outlook

4. Transdniestria Today

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Background

4.3 Negotiations

one step forward one step back

4.4 Politics and society in Transdniestria

4.5 The economy

4.6 The grey zone

5. Abkhazia Today

5.1 Introduction

5.2 Deadlocked negotiations

5.3 Domestic politics and Russian influence

5.4 Economy and society

5.5 Inguri power division

5.6 Tbilisi's policy

5.7 The international outlook

6. South Ossetia Today

6.1 Introduction

6.2 Background

6.3 Political life

6.4 Security and borderisation

6.5 Economy and society

6.6 Links with Georgia

7. The Nagorny Karabakh Conflict in its Fourth Decade

7.1 Introduction

7.2 Faltering negotiations

7.3 Militarisation

7.4 International context

Notes:

7.5 Challenges for 2020

Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, MI Available via World Wide Web.

Description based on online resource; title from digital title page (viewed on December 01, 2020).

Other Format:

Print version: De Waal, Thomas. Beyond Frozen Conflict : Scenarios for the Separatist Disputes of Eastern Europe.

ISBN:

9781538144183

1538144182

Publisher Number:

99985763966

Access Restriction:

Restricted for use by site license.