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Military trends and the future of warfare : the changing global environment and its implications for the U.S. Air Force / Forrest E. Morgan and Raphael S. Cohen.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Morgan, Forrest E., author.
- Cohen, Raphael S., author.
- Series:
- Future of warfare.
- The Future of warfare
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- United States. Air Force--Forecasting.
- United States.
- United States. Air Force.
- Military doctrine--United States--21st century.
- Military doctrine.
- War--Forecasting.
- War.
- Forecasting.
- United States--Armed Forces--Operational readiness.
- Armed Forces.
- Armed Forces--Forecasting.
- Armed Forces--Operational readiness.
- Physical Description:
- xviii, 83 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm.
- Place of Publication:
- Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND, [2020]
- Summary:
- This volume of the Future of Warfare series examines some of the most significant factors shaping military trends over the next ten to 15 years: changes in the size, quality, and character of military forces available to the United States and its potential adversaries. The report identifies six trends that will shape who and where the United States is most likely to fight in the future, how those wars will be conducted, and why they will occur. These trends are: decreasing U.S. conventional force size, increasing near-peer conventional modernization and professionalization, continuing development of asymmetric capabilities by second-tier powers, increasing adversary use of gray-zone tactics, continuing democratization of violence, and emerging artificial intelligence as a class of disruptive technologies.
- Contents:
- Military Trends
- Trend 1: Decreasing U.S. Conventional Force Size
- Trend 2: Increasing Modernization and Professionalization of Near-Peer Forces
- Trend 3: The Development of Asymmetric Strategies by Second- Tier Powers
- Trend 4: Potential Adversaries' Increasing Use of "Gray Zone" Tactics
- Trend 5: A Weakening of the State's Monopoly on Violence
- Trend 6: AI as a Class of Potentially Disruptive Technologies
- Conclusion: Understanding the Eroding "Competitive Military Advantage."
- Notes:
- Includes bibliographical references (pages 71-83).
- See also RAND/RB-10073-AF, RAND/RR-2849/1-AF, RAND/RR-2849/2-AF, RAND/RR-2849/4-AF, RAND/RR-2849/5-AF, RAND/RR-2849/6-AF.
- ISBN:
- 1977402976
- 9781977402974
- OCLC:
- 1161998621
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