Taming uncertainty / Ralph Hertwig, Timothy J. Pleskac, and Thorsten Pachur.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Hertwig, Ralph, author.

Pleskac, Timothy J., author.

Pachur, Thorsten, author.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Uncertainty.

Decision making--Psychological aspects.

Decision making.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (488 pages)

Place of Publication:

Cambridge : MIT Press, 2019.

System Details:

text file

Summary:

An examination of the cognitive tools that the mind uses to grapple with uncertainty in the real world.

Contents:

I The Research Agenda

1 Reckoning with Uncertainty: Our Program of Research p. 3 / Ralph Hertwig and Timothy J. Pleskac and Thorsten Pachur

II The Heuristic Mind

2 The Robust Beauty of Heuristics in Choice under Uncertainty p. 29 / Ralph Hertwig and Jan K. Woike and Thorsten Pachur and Eduard Brandstätter

3 Using Risk-Reward Structures to Reckon with Uncertainty p. 51 / Timothy J. Pleskac and Ralph Hertwig and Christina Leuker and Larissa Conradt

4 Going Round in Circles: How Social Structures Guide and Limit Search p. 71 / Christin Schulze and Thorsten Pachur

5 Strategic Uncertainty and incomplete Information: The Homo Heuristicus Does Not Fold p. 89 / Leonidas Spiliopoulos and Ralph Hertwig

6 Toward Simple Eating Rules for the Land of Plenty p. 111 / Mattea Dallacker and Jutta Mata and Ralph Hertwig

III The Exploring Mind

7 Adaptive Exploration: What You See Is Up to You p. 131 / Dirk U. Wulff and Doug Markant and Timothy J. Pleskac and Ralph Hertwig

8 The Weight of Uncertain Events p. 153 / Thorsten Pachur and Ralph Hertwig

9 Tomorrow Never Knows: Why and How Uncertainty Matters in Intertemporal Choice p. 175 / Junyi Dai and Thorsten Pachur and Timothy J. Pleskac and Ralph Hertwig

10 Experiences and Descriptions of Financial Uncertainty: Are They Equivalent? p. 191 / Tomás Lejarraga and Jan K. Woike and Ralph Hertwig

11 Ways to Learn from Experience p. 207 / Thorsten Pachur and Dries Trippas

IV The Social Mind

12 Rivals in the Dark: Trading Off Strategic and Environmental Uncertainty p. 225 / Doug Markant and Ralph Hertwig

13 The Ecological Rationality of the Wisdom of Crowds p. 245 / Stefan M. Herzog and Aleksandra Litvinova and Kyanoush S. Yahosseini and Alan N. Tump and Ralf H.M. Kurvers

14 Crowds on the Move p. 263 / Mehdi Moussaïd

V The Unfinished Mind

15 Computational Evolution and Ecologically Rational Decision Making p. 285 / Peter D. Kvam and Arend Hintze and Timothy J. Pleskac and David Pietraszewski

16 How the Adaptive Adolescent Mind Navigates Uncertainty p. 305 / Wouter van den Bos and Corinna Laube and Ralph Hertwig

17 The Life-Span Development of Risk Preference p. 325 / Rui Mata and Renato Frey

VI Looking Back to Look Forward

18 Interpreting Uncertainty: A Brief History of Not Knowing p. 343 / Anastasia Kozyreva and Timothy J. Pleskac and Thorsten Pachur and Ralph Hertwig

VII Accompanying Material.

Notes:

OCLC-licensed vendor bibliographic record.

ISBN:

026235313X

9780262353137

OCLC:

1099683077

Access Restriction:

Restricted for use by site license.