Analysis of Catastrophes and Their Public Health Consequences : Descriptions, Predictions, and Aggregation of Expert Judgment Supporting Science Policy / by Paolo F. Ricci.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Ricci, Paolo F., author.

Contributor:

SpringerLink (Online service)

Series:

Medicine (SpringerNature-11650)

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Public health.

Sociology--Research.

Sociology.

Climatic changes.

Epidemiology.

Public Health.

Research Methodology.

Climate Change.

Local Subjects:

Public Health.

Research Methodology.

Climate Change.

Epidemiology.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (XXII, 187 pages) : 53 illustrations, 24 illustrations in color

Edition:

First edition 2020.

Contained In:

Springer Nature eBook

Place of Publication:

Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2020.

System Details:

text file PDF

Summary:

Public health policy prospectively and retrospectively addresses the consequences of events ranging from the commonplace to the catastrophic. Informing policymakers and stakeholders by enhancing their understanding of complex causation to justify remedial or precautionary actions is a critical science-policy task. In this book, the key aspects of catastrophes (regardless of their nature) and routine events are identified through a common framework for their analyses, and the analyses of the consequences associated with the potential occurrence of these events also are discussed. The book is not about disaster planning; instead, it is focused on analysis and causation in the context of informing - rather than formulating - public health policy. The author aggregates and fuses scientific information and knowledge in public health policy-science using alternative but complementary methods. The book first focuses on the analysis of catastrophes and commonplace events; the focus then shifts to causal models of multifactorial diseases, particularly at low doses or dose-rates, associated with these events. Topics explored among the chapters include: Policy and Legal Aspects of Precautionary Choices Catastrophes, Disasters, and Calamities: Concepts for Their Assessment Uncertainty: Probabilistic and Statistical Aspects Aggregating Judgments to Inform Precautionary Decision-making The aim of the book is to show that the analyses of events are fundamentally similar, regardless of whether the concern is a global catastrophe or commonplace. Analysis of Catastrophes and Their Public Health Consequences is a text that should engage students, instructors, and researchers in public health, science policy, and preparedness research, as well as serve as a useful resource for policy analysts, practitioners, and risk managers.

Contents:

Chapter 1. Black Swans, dragon-kings, and Other Catastrophes: Caught Between Infinitesimals and Googols

Chapter 2. Policy and Legal Aspects of Precautionary Choices

Chapter 3. Catastrophes, Disasters, and Calamities: Concepts for Their Assessment

Chapter 4. Catastrophic Incidents: Critical Information and Knowledge

Chapter 5. Uncertainty: Probabilistic and Statistical Aspects

Chapter 6. Preferences, Choices and Probabilistic Dominance: An Overview

Chapter 7. Heterogeneous and Uncertain Knowledge: Beyond Probabilities

Chapter 8. Aggregating Judgments to Inform Precautionary Decision-making.

Other Format:

Printed edition:

ISBN:

978-3-030-48066-0

9783030480660

Access Restriction:

Restricted for use by site license.