Land Use and Food Security in 2050: a Narrow Road : Agrimonde-Terra.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Le Mouël, Chantal, Editor.

De Lattre-Gasquet , Marie, Editor.

Mora , Olivier, 1972- Editor.

Series:

Matière à débattre et Décider

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Land use.

Food security.

Food supply.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (400)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

éditions Quae 2018

Language Note:

English.

Summary:

"After a first foresight study on ‘World food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde), CIRAD and INRA have turned their attention to a new foresight exercise on ‘Land use and food security in 2050’ (Agrimonde-Terra). This new study seeks to highlight levers that could modify ongoing land-use patterns for improved food and nutrition security. Agrimonde-Terra proposes a trend analysis on the global context, climate change, food diets, urban-rural linkages, farm structures, cropping and livestock systems, and explores five scenarios. Three scenarios entitled ‘Metropolization’, ‘Regionalization’ and ‘Households’ are based on current competing trends identified in most world regions. Two scenarios entitled ‘Healthy’ and ‘Communities’ involve potential breaks that could change the entire land use and food security system. The ‘Healthy’ scenario is the only one that makes it possible to achieve sustainable world food and nutrition security in 2050. Nevertheless, current trends in agricultural and food systems in most parts of the world converge towards the ‘Metropolization’ scenario, which is not sustainable in terms of both land use and human health. Therefore, changing the course of ongoing trends in favor of sustainable land uses and healthy food systems will be one of the main challenges of the next decades. It will require systemic transformation, strong and coherent public policies across sectors and scales, and consistent actions from a wide range of actors. This foresight provides a large information base on land uses, food systems and food security and constitutes a tool box to stimulate debates, imagine new policies and innovations. It aims to empower decision makers, stakeholders, non-governmental organizations and researchers to develop a constructive dialogue on the futures of land uses and food security at either world, regional and national levels."

Contents:

Intro

Contents

Preface

Acknowledgements

Introduction

1. The 'Land Use and Food Security' System

2. Agrimonde-Terra's Foresight Approach to Scenario Construction

3. The GlobAgri-Agrimonde-Terra Database and Model

4. Land-use Change Trajectories in Existing Scenario Studies

5. Retrospective Overview of Land Uses at Global Level and by World Regions

6. The Global Context

7. Climate Change: Impacts and Mitigation

8. Dietary Changes, Nutrition Transition and the Future of Global Diets

9. Urbanization, RuralTransformation and FutureUrban-Rural Linkages

10. Farm Structures: Current Shaping Forces and Future Farms

11. Cropping Systems

12. Livestock Systems

13. Scenarios of Land Use and Food Security in 2050

14. Land-use Change Impacts of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: An Assessment with the GlobAgri-AgT Model

15. Regional Dimension of the Agrimonde-Terra Scenarios: The Example of sub-Saharan Africa

16. Lessons on Land Use and Food Security from the Scenarios

17. Options for Public Policies

Conclusion

References

Appendix 1

Appendix 2

Authors.

ISBN:

9782759228812

2759228819

9782759228805

2759228800

OCLC:

1290021968