The Senkaku paradox : risking great power war over limited stakes / Michael E. O'Hanlon.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

O'Hanlon, Michael E., author.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Great powers.

History.

United States--Military policy.

United States.

Military policy.

National security--United States.

National security.

Russia (Federation)--Strategic aspects.

Russia (Federation).

China--Strategic aspects.

China.

Deterrence (Strategy).

Aggression (International law).

War--Economic aspects.

War.

Great powers--History--21st century.

Geopolitics.

Asymmetric warfare.

Escalation (Military science).

Limited war.

Nuclear threshold (Strategy).

Physical Description:

x, 258 pages : illustrations, maps ; 23 cm

Other Title:

Senkaku paradox: risking great power war over small stakes

Place of Publication:

Washington, D.C. : Brookings Institution Press, [2019]

Summary:

"In recent years, the Pentagon has elevated its concerns about Russia and China as potential military threats to the United States and its allies. But what issues could provoke actual conflict between the United States and either country? And how could such a conflict be contained before it took the world to the brink of thermonuclear catastrophe, as was feared during the cold war? Defense expert Michael O'Hanlon wrestles with these questions in this insightful book, setting them within the broader context of hegemonic change and today's version of great-power competition. The book examines how a local crisis could escalate into a broader and much more dangerous threat to peace. What if, for example, Russia's "little green men" seized control of a community, like Narva or an even smaller town in Estonia, now a NATO ally? Or, what if China seized one of the uninhabited Senkaku islands now claimed and administered by Japan, or imposed a partial blockade of Taiwan? Such threats are not necessarily imminent, but they are far from inconceivable. Washington could be forced to choose, in these and similar cases, between risking major war to reverse the aggression, and appeasing China or Russia in ways that could jeopardize the broader global order. O'Hanlon argues that the United States needs a better range of options for dealing with such risks to peace. He advocates "integrated deterrence," which combines military elements with economic warfare. The military components would feature strengthened forward defenses as well as, possibly, limited military options against Russian or Chinese assets in other theaters."--Provided by publisher.

Contents:

Introduction

Plausible scenarios

China and Russia scenarios in 2040

Military elements of integrated deterrence

Integrating economics into war plans

Conclusion and recommendations

Appendix 1. The so-called revolution in military affairs, 2000-2020

Appendix 2. Forecasting change in military technology, 2020-2040.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Other Format:

Online version: O'Hanlon, Michael E., author. Senkaku paradox

ISBN:

9780815736899

0815736894

OCLC:

1088599779