Old and new perspectives on mortality forecasting / Tommy Bengtsson, Nico Keilman, editors.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Bengtsson, Tommy, editor.

Keilman, Nico, editor.

Series:

Demographic research methods.

Demographic research methods

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Mortality--Statistical methods.

Mortality.

Physical Description:

xi, 349 pages ; 24 cm.

Place of Publication:

Cham, Switzerland : SpringerOpen, [2019]

Summary:

This open access book describes methods of mortality forecasting and discusses possible improvements. It contains a selection of previously unpublished and published papers, which together provide a state-of-the-art overview of statistical approaches as well as behavioural and biological perspectives. The different parts of the book provide discussions of current practice, probabilistic forecasting, the linearity in the increase of life expectancy, causes of death, and the role of cohort factors. The key question in the book is whether it is possible to project future mortality accurately, and if so, what is the best approach. This makes the book a valuable read to demographers, pension planners, actuaries, and all those interested and/or working in modelling and forecasting mortality.

Contents:

Part I. Current practice

Part II. Probabilistic models

Part III. The linear rise in life expectancy: history and prospects

Part IV. Causes of death

Part V. Cohort factors: how conditions in early life influence mortality later in life.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references.

ISBN:

3030050742

9783030050740

OCLC:

1059320591