The logic of failure : recognizing and avoiding error in complex situations / Dietrich Dörner ; [translated by Rita and Robert Kimber].

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Dörner, Dietrich, 1938-

Standardized Title:

Logik des Misslingens. English

Language:

English

German

Subjects (All):

Decision making.

Problem solving.

Planning--Psychological aspects.

Planning.

Decision Making.

Problem Solving.

Medical Subjects:

Decision Making.

Problem Solving.

Physical Description:

222 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm

Place of Publication:

Cambridge, Mass. : Perseus Books, 1996.

Summary:

our modern world, even though it was appropriate to older, simpler times. Working with imagination and often hilarious computer simulations, Dietrich Dorner provides a compass for intelligent planning and decision-making that can sharpen the skills of managers and policy-makers everywhere.

Contents:

Some examples. The lamentable fate of Tanaland ; The not-quite-so-lamentable fate of Greenvale ; Chernobyl in Tanaland

The demands. Complexity ; Dynamics ; Intransparence ; Ignorance and mistaken hypotheses ; Steps in planning and action

Setting goals. Requirements of goal setting ; General goals and "repair service" behavior ; Liberty, equality, and "voluntary conscription"

Information and models. Reality, Models, and information ; Solving problems one at a time ; "It's the environment" ; Prime numbers and tourist traffic, or Moltke and forest fires ; The pale cast of thought

Time sequences. Time and space ; Lily pads, grains of rice, and AIDS ; A premature all clear? ; Laymen and experts ; "Twenty-eight is a good number" ; Predators and prey ; The moths of Kuera

Planning. "Go make yourself a plan ..." ; Rumpelstiltskin ; Learn by making mistakes? Not necessarily!

So now what do we do?

Notes:

Originally published: New York : Metropolitan Books, 1996.

"A Merloyd Lawrence book."

Includes bibliographical references (pages 201-209) and index.

ISBN:

0201479486

9780201479485

OCLC:

41376833