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Boombustology : spotting financial bubbles before they burst / Vikram Mansharamani, PhD.

Lippincott Library HB3711 .M354 2019
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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Mansharamani, Vikram, author.
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Business cycles.
Financial crises.
Business forecasting.
Physical Description:
xxiv, 360 pages ; 24 cm
Edition:
Second edition.
Place of Publication:
Hoboken, New Jersey : John Wiley & Sons, Inc., [2019]
Contents:
Part I Five Lenses
Chapter 1 Microeconomic Perspectives: To Equilibrium or Not? p. 9
"Random Walks" and Accurate Prices: The Efficient Market Hypothesis
Unstable and Inefficient: The Theory of Reflexivity
Consolidating Two Factors of Detection
Chapter 2 Macroeconomic Perspectives: The Impact of Debt, Deflation, and Mispriced Money on Asset Markets p. 29
The Magnifying Power of Leverage
Collateral Rates and Debt Dynamics
Hyman Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis
Debt Deflation and Asset Prices
Quantitative Easing
The Austrian Business Cycle Theory
Integrating the Macro Lenses
Chapter 3 The Psychology Lens: Homo Economicus Meets Homo Sapiens p. 57
The Study of Irrationality Is Born
Heuristics Gone Wild: How Rules of Thumb Lead Us Astray
Our Flawed Brains: Other Cognitive Issues
The Certainty of Uncertainty
Chapter 4 Political Foundations: Evaluating Property Rights, Price Mechanisms, and Political Distortions p. 81
Can Anyone Own Anything?
Venezuelan and Soviet Nationalization: Communism at Work
Prices: To Guide or Be Guided?
Political Distortions of Property and Price
Tariffs and Trade Wars
Chapter 5 Biological Frameworks: Epidemiology and Emergence p. 105
Revealing the Maturity of an Unsustainable Boom
How Micro Simplicity Drives Macro Complexity
Emergent Behavior in Human Swarms
The Blind Leading the Blind
Part II Historical Case Studies
Chapter 6 Tulipomania: A Bubble in Seventeenth-Century Holland p. 127
The Uniqueness of Tulips
Fertile Soil for Bubble Formation
The Boombustology of Tulipomania
The Multilens Look
Chapter 7 The Great Depression: From Roaring Twenties to Yawning Thirties p. 143
Castles in the Sand
From Booming Twenties to Busted Thirties
The Boombustology of the Great Depression
Chapter 8 The Japanese Boom and Bust: A Credit-Fueled Bubble Economy p. 163
Japan(ese) as Different
An Overview of the Bubble Economy
The Boombustology of the Japanese Boom and Bust
Chapter 9 The Asian Financial Crisis: The Mirage of a Miracle p. 185
Boom Times in East Asia
Thailand Catches the Flu
The Boombustology of the Asian Financial Crisis
Chapter 10 The U.S. Housing Boom and Bust: The Homeowner's Society Creates the People's Panic p. 205
"Safe as Houses"
The Music Stops
The Boombustology of the U.S. Housing Boom and Bust
Chapter 11 China's Credit-Fueled Investment Boom p. 227
Tendencies toward Equilibrium
Leverage, Cheap Money, and Potential Deflation
Conspicuous Consumption and Overconfidence
Rights, Moral Hazard, and Political Distortion
Consensus, Silent Leadership, and Epidemics
The Unsustainable Chinese Story
The Boombustology of China's Credit-Fueled Investment Boom and Bust
Chapter 12 Spotting Bubbles Before They Burst: A Method for Identifying Unsustainable Booms p. 259
Reflexivity and Self-Fulfilling Dynamics
Leverage, Financial Innovation, and Cheap Money
Overconfidence
Policy-Driven Distortions
Epidemics and Emergence
Chapter 13 Boombustology in Action: Is India Next? p. 287
Distinguishing Potential and Reality
Capital Markets Considerations
Population, Debt, and Investment
India's Versailles
Culture, Vocation, and Underdevelopment
Automation: Why It's Too Late for India
"Make in India": The Wrong Playbook for Development
India's Elusive Middle Class: Disappointment Ahead?
Conclusion Hedgehogs, Foxes, and the Dangers of Making Predictions p. 311
Blinded by Focus
Addendum A Passive Investing Bubble? p. 319
Feedback Loops and Reflexivity
Distortion of the Market
Oversimplification as Overconfidence
Investment and Interest Rates
Herd Mentality and Silent Leadership
Too Much of a Good Thing.
Notes:
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Other Format:
Online version: Mansharamani, Vikram, author. Boombustology
ISBN:
9781119575603
1119575605
OCLC:
1085577164

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