Natural and man-made catastrophes : theories, economics, and policy designs / S. Niggol Seo.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Seo, Sungno Niggol, author.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Emergency management.

Disasters.

Physical Description:

xvi, 252 pages ; 25 cm

Place of Publication:

Hoboken, NJ : John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2019.

Contents:

1 The Economics of Humanity-Ending Catastrophes, Natural and Man-made: Introduction p. 1

1.1 Fables of Catastrophes in Three Worlds p. 1

1.2 Feared Catastrophic Events p. 3

1.3 Global or Universal Catastrophes p. 7

1.4 A Multidisciplinary Review of Catastrophe Studies p. 11

1.5 Economics of Catastrophic Events p. 16

1.6 Empirical Studies of Behaviors Under Catastrophes p. 18

1.7 Designing Policies on Catastrophic Events p. 21

1.8 Economics of Catastrophes Versus Economics of Sustainability p. 25

1.9 Road Ahead p. 26

2 Mathematical Foundations of Catastrophe and Chaos Theories and Their Applications p. 37

2.2 Catastrophe Theory p. 39

2.2.1 Catastrophe Models and Tipping Points p. 40

2.2.2 Regulating Mechanisms p. 42

2.3 Chaos Theory p. 43

2.3.1 Butterfly Effect p. 44

2.3.2 The Lorenz Attractor p. 45

2.4 Fractal Theory p. 46

2.4.1 Fractals p. 46

2.4.2 The Mandelbrot Set p. 49

2.4.3 Fractals, Catastrophe, and Power Law p. 50

2.5 Finding Order in Chaos p. 55

2.6 Catastrophe Theory Applications p. 60

3 Philosophies, Ancient and Contemporary, of Catastrophes, Doomsdays, and Civilizational Collapses p. 67

3.2 Environmental Catastrophes: Silent Spring p. 69

3.3 Ecological Catastrophes: The Ultimate Value Is Wilderness p. 73

3.4 Climate Doomsday Modelers p. 76

3.5 Collapsiology: The Archaeology of Civilizational Collapses p. 79

3.6 Pascal's Wager: A Statistics of infinity of Value p. 82

3.7 Randomness in the Indian School of Thoughts p. 85

3.8 The Road to the Economics of Catastrophes p. 88

4 Economics of Catastrophic Events: Theory p. 95

4.2 Defining Catastrophic Events: Thresholds p. 98

4.3 Defining Catastrophic Events: Tail Distributions p. 100

4.4 Insurance and Catastrophic Coverage p. 104

4.5 Options for a Catastrophic Event p. 110

4.6 Catastrophe Bonds p. 114

4.7 Pareto Optimality in Policy Interventions p. 119

4.8 Events of Variance infinity or Undefined Moments p. 125

4.9 Economics of Infinity: A Dismal Science p. 129

4.10 Alternative Formulations of a Fat-tail Catastrophe p. 132

5 Economics of Catastrophic Events: Empirical Data and Analyses of Behavioral Responses p. 145

5.2 Modeling the Genesis of a Hurricane p. 147

5.3 Indices of the Destructive Potential of a Hurricane p. 149

5.4 Factors of Destruction: Wind Speeds, Central Pressure, and Storm Surge p. 151

5.5 Predicting Future Hurricanes p. 153

5.6 Measuring the Size and Destructiveness of an Earthquake p. 156

5.7 What Causes Human Fatalities? p. 159

5.8 Evidence of Adaptation to Tropical Cyclones p. 162

5.9 Modeling Behavioral Adaptation Strategies p. 166

5.10 Contributions of Empirical Studies to Catastrophe Literature p. 171

6 Catastrophe Policies: An Evaluation of Historical Developments and Outstanding Issues p. 177

6.2 Protecting the Earth from Asteroids p. 178

6.3 Earthquake Policies and Programs p. 181

6.4 Hurricane, Cyclone, and Typhoon Policies and Programs p. 182

6.5 Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Weapons p. 187

6.6 Criteria Pollutants: The Clean Air Act p. 191

6.7 Toxic Chemicals and Hazardous Substances: Toxic Substances Control Act p. 198

6.8 Ozone Depletion: The Montreal Protocol p. 201

6.9 Global Warming: The Kyoto Protocol and Paris Agreement p. 203

6.10 Strangelets: High-Risk Physics Experiments p. 207

6.11 Artificial Intelligence p. 209

7 Insights for Practitioners: Making Rational Decisions on a Global or Even Universal Catastrophe p. 219

7.2 Lessons from the Multidisciplinary Literature of Catastrophes p. 221

7.3 Fears of Low-Minds and High-Minds: Opinion Surveys p. 228

7.4 Planet-wide Catastrophes or Universal Catastrophes p. 230

7.5 Making Rational Decisions on Planet-wide or Universal Catastrophes p. 234.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Other Format:

Online version: Seo, Sungno Niggol, author. Natural and man-made catastrophes

ISBN:

9781119416791

1119416795

OCLC:

1061863928