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Bayesian epistemology / Luc Bovens and Stephan Hartmann.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Bovens, Luc, author.
- Hartmann, Stephan, 1968- author.
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Bayesian statistical decision theory.
- Knowledge, Theory of.
- Reasoning--Mathematical models.
- Reasoning.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (ix, 159 pages) : illustrations
- Place of Publication:
- Oxford : Clarendon ; Oxford ; New York : Oxford University Press, 2003.
- Language Note:
- English
- Summary:
- Probabilistic models have much to offer to philosophy. We continually receive information from a variety of sources: from our senses, from witnesses, from scientific instruments. When considering whether we should believe this information, we assess whether the sources are independent, how reliable they are, and how plausible and coherent the information is. Bovens and Hartmann provide a systematic Bayesian account of these features of reasoning. Simple Bayesian networks allow us to model alternative assumptions about the nature of the information sources. Measurement of the coherence of infor
- Contents:
- Information. C.I. Lewis's heritage ; Bayesian coherentism ; Modelling information gathering ; An impossibility result ; Weak Bayesian coherentism
- Coherence. Unequal priors ; Constructing a measure ; A corpse in Tokyo, Bonjour's ravens and Tweety ; Equal reliability ; Indeterminacy ; Alternative proposals ; Theory choice in science
- Reliability. Reliability defined endogenously ; One witness report ; Multiple witness reports ; An upper limit for reliability? ; Bayesian networks ; Jury voting ; Tversky and Kahneman's Linda
- Confirmation. Hypothesis testing ; Same test results ; Coherent test results ; The variety-of-evidence thesis ; Auxiliary theories
- Testimony. The value of surprising information ; Testimonies from independent witnesses ; Lower priors, higher posteriors? ; Generalizing to many witnesses ; Shopping for consumer products.
- Notes:
- Description based upon print version of record.
- Description based on print version record.
- Includes bibliographical references and index.
- ISBN:
- 0-19-927040-6
- 1-281-98996-7
- 9786611989965
- 0-19-153352-1
- OCLC:
- 123129792
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