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Modeling risk : applying Monte Carlo simulation, real options analysis, forecasting, and optimization techniques / Johnathan Mun.

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Format:
Book
Author/Creator:
Mun, Johnathan.
Series:
Wiley finance series ; 580.
Wiley finance ; 580
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Risk assessment.
Risk assessment--Mathematical models.
Risk management.
Finance--Decision making.
Finance.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (976 p.)
Edition:
2nd ed.
Place of Publication:
New York : Wiley, 2010.
Language Note:
English
Summary:
An updated guide to risk analysis and modeling Although risk was once seen as something that was both unpredictable and uncontrollable, the evolution of risk analysis tools and theories has changed the way we look at this important business element. In the Second Edition of Analyzing and Modeling Risk, expert Dr. Johnathan Mun provides up-to-date coverage of risk analysis as it is applied within the realms of business risk analysis and offers an intuitive feel of what risk looks like, as well as the different ways of quantifying it. This Second Edition provides professionals in all industri
Contents:
Moving beyond uncertainty
From risk to riches
A guide to model-building etiquette
On the shores of Monaco
Test driving risk simulator
Pandora's toolbox
Extended business cases I : pharmaceutical and biotech negotiations, oil and gas exploration, financial planning with simulation, hospital risk management, risk-based executive compensation valuation, and risk-based schedule planning
Tomorrow's forecast today
Using the past to predict the future
The search for the optimal decision
Optimization under uncertainty
What is so real about real options, and why are they optional?
The black box made transparent : real options super lattice solver software
Extended business cases II : real estate, banking, military strategy, automotive aftermarkets, global earth observation systems, employee stock options, oil and gas royalty lease negotiations, real options and IT enterprise risk security, Basel II credit and market risk analysis, and IT information security intrusion risk management
The warning signs
Changing a corporate culture.
Notes:
Includes index.
ISBN:
9786613320704
9786612688041
9781283320702
1283320703
9780470620014
0470620013
9781118366332
1118366336
9781282688049
1282688049
9780470619995
0470619996
OCLC:
654830928

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