Addressing climate change in local water agency plans : demonstrating a simplified robust decision making approach in the California Sierra foothills / David G. Groves [and four others].

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Groves, David G.

Contributor:

Groves, David G.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Climatic changes.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (77 p.)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

RAND Corporation 2013

Santa Monica, California : Rand, 2013.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

This report describes an approach for planning under deep uncertainty, Robust Decision Making (RDM), and demonstrates its use by the El Dorado Irrigation District (EID). Using RDM, the authors and EID tested the robustness of current long-term water management plans and more robust alternatives across more than 50 futures reflecting different assumptions about future climate, urban growth, and the availability of important new supplies.

Contents:

Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; About This Document; The RAND Environment, Energy, and Economic Development Program; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Introduction; Use of Robust Decision Making to Evaluate Vulnerabilities and Adaptation Strategies; Results; How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under a Wide Range of Plausible Assumptions About the Future?; Under What Conditions Is EID's Current Plan Most Vulnerable?; How Can EID's Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?; What Are the Key Tradeoffs and How Can They Inform Decisions?; Conclusion; Acknowledgments

Abbreviations1. Introduction; 2. An Approach for Addressing Climate Change by Local Water Agencies; 3. Application to Local Water Agency Planning; El Dorado Irrigation District and Its Long-Term Planning; EID Overview; EID Management Challenges and Opportunities; EID Master Plan; Incorporating Climate and Other Uncertainty into EID's Planning; XLRM Framework for Structuring Uncertainty Analysis; Relationships (R); Uncertainties (X); Management Options and Strategies (L); Performance Metrics (M); Experimental Design; Interactive Visualizations; 4. Results

How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under Standard Planning Assumptions?How Reliable Is EID's Current Plan Under Alternative but Plausible Assumptions About the Future?; To Which Conditions Is EID's Current Plan Most Vulnerable?; How Can EID's Vulnerabilities Be Reduced Through Additional Management Options?; What Are the Key Tradeoffs Among EID's Strategies for Reducing Vulnerability?; How Can Expectations of the Future Inform EID Planning Decisions?; 5. Discussion; References

Notes:

Description based upon print version of record.

Includes bibliographical references.

Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (ebrary, viewed December 17, 2013).

ISBN:

9780833082558

0833082558

OCLC:

868491408

Access Restriction:

Open access Unrestricted online access