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Dangerous thresholds : managing escalation in the 21st century / Forrest E. Morgan ... [et al.].
- Format:
- Book
- Series:
- Rand Corporation monograph series.
- Rand Corporation monograph series
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Escalation (Military science).
- Conflict management.
- Security, International--21st century.
- Security, International.
- World politics--21st century.
- World politics.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (275 p.)
- Place of Publication:
- Santa Monica, CA : RAND Project Air Force, 2008.
- Language Note:
- English
- Summary:
- This analysis of escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws on a range of historical examples from World War I to the struggle against global Jihad to inform escalation-related decision making.
- Contents:
- Cover; Preface; Contents; Figures; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Background; Contemporary Challenges; Purpose of This Monograph; Organization and Approach; CHAPTER TWO- The Nature of Escalation; Understanding Escalation; Dimensions of Escalation: Vertical, Horizontal, and Political; Escalation Mechanisms; Complexity in Escalation; Motives for Escalation; Dynamics of Escalation; Escalation and Instability in the 21st Century; Anticipating and Managing Escalation; CHAPTER THREE- China's Thinking on Escalation: Evidence from Chinese Military Writings
- Introduction Background and Conceptual Issues; Understanding Chinese Views on Escalation and War Control; Assessing Chinese Escalation Behavior Through the Lens of the Second Artillery Doctrine; Second Artillery Nuclear Operations and Escalation; Second Artillery Conventional Missile Strike Campaigns; Chinese Views on Space Warfare and Escalation; Conclusion; CHAPTER FOUR- Regional Nuclear Powers; Escalation Risks Inherent in Emergent Nuclear Capability; Sources of Regional Instability; Conclusion; CHAPTER FIVE- Escalation in Irregular Warfare; Irregular Warfare's Many Paths of Escalation
- Escalation in Stability Operations: Two Illustrative Cases Escalation in the Global Jihad; Escalation Management in the Struggle Against Global Jihad; Conclusion; CHAPTER SIX- Managing Escalation in a Complex World; The First Step in Managing Escalation Is Understanding Its Nature; Managing Escalation Risks in Today's World; Recommendations for the U.S. Air Force; APPENDIX A- China, Force, and Escalation: Continuities Between Historical Behavior and Contemporary Writings; APPENDIX B- Case Studies of Escalation in Stability Operations; APPENDIX C- Modified Method for Delphi Analyses
- Bibliography
- Notes:
- Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.
- "MG-614-AF"--P. [4] of cover.
- "Prepared for the United States Air Force."
- Includes bibliographical references (p. 225-245).
- ISBN:
- 1-282-03321-2
- 9786612033216
- 0-8330-4636-5
- OCLC:
- 476261212
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