The clinical prediction of violent behavior / John Monahan.

Format:

Book

Government document

Author/Creator:

Monahan, John, 1946-

Series:

Master work series.

The Master work series

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Violence--Forecasting.

Violence.

Psychodiagnostics.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (150 p.)

Place of Publication:

Northvale, N.J. : J. Aronson, 1995.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

As therapists are increasingly held legally responsible for failing to predict their client's violent behaviour, the pressure to know and forecast behaviour - never the chosen domain of clinicians - has risen. Worries about potential law suits invade the therapeutic setting. The volume enables therapists to master the proven signs of potentially harmful acts, so that they can get back to the work they were trained for: helping people.

Contents:

Cover; Title Page; Copyright Page; Foreword; Preface to the New Edition; Preface; Table of Contents; Chapter 1. Introduction to a Controversy; Prediction in Life and in Law; Definitions of Dangerous and Violent Behavior; Criticism of Prediction in Law; The Empirical Attack: Accurate Prediction is Impossible; The Political Attack: Prediction Violates Civil Liberties; The Professional Attack: Prediction Destroys the Helping Role of the Mental Health Disciplines; The Moral and Political Issues Raised by Prediction; The Criterion: Why Some Forms of Violence and Not Others?

The Predictors: What shall be Included?The Relationship: How Accurate is Accurate Enough?; The Consequences: Prediction for what Purpose?; A Statement of Personal Values; Summary; Chapter 2. The Clinical Prediction Process in Theory and in Practice; Core Concepts in Prediction; Predictor and Criterion Variables; Outcome of Positive and Negative Predictions; Decision Rules; Base Rates; The Clinical Prediction Process in Theory; Personality Factors; Motivation; Inhibition; Habit; Situational Factors; Interactions; The Clinical Prediction Process in Practice; Common Clinical Errors in Prediction

Lack of Specificity in Defining the CriterionIgnoring Statistical Base Rates; Relying upon illusory Correlations; Failing To Incorporate Environmental Information; Summary; Chapter 3. Research on Clinical Prediction; Childhood Prediction of Adult Violence; Outcome Studies of Clinical Prediction; Psychological Tests; Criticisms of the Clinical Research; The Studies Tested Something Other than Prediction; The Predictions that were Tested were Seriously Out of Date; Much Violence May have Occurred but Not Been Detected

Possible Limits on the Generalizability of the Research: The Prediction of Imminent Violence in Emergency ContextsSummary; Chapter 4. Statistical Approaches to Improving Clinical Prediction; Clinical and Actuarial Prediction; The Nature of the Distinction; Statistical Data Combined Statistically; Statistical Data Combined Clinically; Clinical Data Combined Statistically; Clinical Data Combined Clinically; On Predicting an Individual's Behavior from Class Membership; Actuarial Studies of the Prediction of Violence; Major Actuarial Correlates of Violent Behavior

Past Crime, Particularly Violent CrimeAge; Sex; Race; Socioeconomic Status and Employment Stability; Opiate or Alcohol Abuse; Mental Illness and Violent Behavior; Mental Illness among Criminals; Violent Behavior among Former Mental Patients; The Dominance of Clinical Prediction in the Law; Clinical Prediction and the Rare Event; Insufficient Time for Actuarial Analysis; The Unavailability of Actuarial Data; The Clinical Use of Statistical Data; Making Base Rates of Violence a Prime Consideration; Obtaining Information on Valid Predictive Relationships

Not Overreacting to Positive Correlations

Notes:

Description based on print version record and CIP data provided by publisher; resource not viewed.

Originally published: Rockville, Md. : U.S. Dept. of Health and Human Services, Public Health Service, Alcohol, Drug Abuse, and Mental Health Administration, National Institute of Mental Health ; Washington, D.C. : For sale by the Supt. of Docs., U.S. G.P.O., 1981, in series: Crime and delinquency issues.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 124-134).

ISBN:

1-299-39705-0

1-4616-2783-4