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The Economics of Political Transitions : Implications for the Arab Spring / Padamja Khandelwal, Agustin Roitman.
- Format:
- Book
- Government document
- Author/Creator:
- Khandelwal, Padamja.
- Series:
- IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/069
- IMF Working Papers
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Arab Spring, 2010-.
- Arab countries--Economic policy.
- Arab countries.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (14 p.)
- Place of Publication:
- Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
- Language Note:
- English
- Summary:
- Over the past two years, ongoing political transitions in many Arab countries have led to social unrest and an economic downturn. This paper examines comparable historical episodes of political instability to derive implications for the near- and medium-term economic outlook in the Arab countries in transition. In general, past episodes of political instability were characterized by a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic outcomes and a sluggish recovery over the medium term. Recent economic developments in the Arab countries in transition seem to be unfolding along similar lines, although the weak external environment and large fiscal vulnerabilities could result in a prolonged slump.
- Contents:
- Cover; Contents; I. Introduction; II. Sample Selection and Methodology; Table; 1. Political Instability Events Since 1980; III. Main Findings; A. Output; Figures; 1. Real GDP Growth; 2. Output Gap; B. Consumption and Investment; 3. Unemployment Rate; 4. Gross Fixed Public Capital Formation; 5. Gross Fixed Private Capital Formation; C. Fiscal Positions; 6. Overall Fiscal Balance; 7. Current Account Balance; D. External Balances and International Reserves; E. Exchange Rates and Inflation; 8. Selected Financial Flows; 9. Nominal Currency Depreciation and Inflation During the Crisis
- 10. Aggregate Real Effective Exchange Rate IndexIV. Conclusion; References; Data Appendix
- Notes:
- Description based upon print version of record.
- Includes bibliographical references.
- Description based on print version record.
- ISBN:
- 9781475573237
- 1475573235
- 9781475543605
- 1475543603
- 9781299461956
- 1299461956
- 9781475580181
- 1475580185
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