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A New Risk Indicator and Stress Testing Tool : A Multifactor Nth-to-Default CDS Basket / Renzo Avesani, Jing Li, Antonio Garcia Pascual.

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Format:
Book
Government document
Author/Creator:
Avesani, Renzo.
Contributor:
Garcia Pascual, Antonio.
Li, Jing.
Series:
IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2006/105
IMF Working Papers
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Risk management.
Economic indicators.
Physical Description:
1 online resource (25 p.)
Edition:
1st ed.
Place of Publication:
Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2006.
Language Note:
English
Summary:
This paper generalizes a market-based indicator for financial sector surveillance using a multifactor latent structure in the determination of the default probabilities of an nth-todefault credit default swap (CDS) basket of large complex financial institutions (LCFIs). To estimate the multifactor latent structure, we link the market risk (the covariance of the LCFIs' equity) to credit risk (the default probability of the CDS basket) in a coherent manner. In addition, to analyze the response of the probabilities of default to changing macroeconomic conditions, we run a stress test by generating shocks to the latent multifactor structure. The results unveil a rich set of default probability dynamics and help in identifying the most relevant sources of risk. We anticipate that this approach could be of value to financial supervisors and risk managers alike.
Contents:
""Contents""; ""I. INTRODUCTION""; ""II. DESCRIPTION OF THE INDICATOR""; ""III. MODEL DESCRIPTION""; ""IV. DATA DESCRIPTION""; ""V. FACTOR ANALYSIS: ESTIMATION RESULTS""; ""VI. COMPUTATION OF THE PROBABILITIES OF DEFAULT""; ""VII. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS""; ""VIII. STRESS TESTING""; ""IX. CONCLUDING REMARKS""; ""References""
Notes:
"April 2006".
Includes bibliographical references.
Description based on print version record.
ISBN:
9786613824998
9781462305414
1462305415
9781452791517
1452791511
9781283512541
1283512548
9781451908992
1451908997
OCLC:
712989261

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