Are Emerging Asia’s Reserves Really Too High? / Marta Ruiz-Arranz, Milan Zavadjil.

Format:

Book

Government document

Author/Creator:

Ruiz-Arranz, Marta.

Contributor:

Zavadjil, Milan.

Series:

IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2008/192

IMF working paper ; WP/08/192

IMF Working Papers

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Foreign exchange administration--Asia.

Foreign exchange administration.

Foreign exchange--Asia.

Foreign exchange.

Capital movements--Asia.

Capital movements.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (36 p.)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2008.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

Empirical analysis does not suggest that reserves are "too high" in the majority of Asian countries, though China may be a special case. Much of the reserve increase in Asia can be explained by an optimal insurance model under which reserves provide a steady source of liquidity to cushion the impact of a sudden stop in capital inflows on output and consumption. Moreover, the benefits of reserves in terms of reduced spreads on privately held external debt further explains the observed growth in reserves since 1997-98. Using threshold estimation techniques, the paper shows that most of Asia can still benefit from higher reserves in terms of reduced borrowing costs.

Contents:

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Developments in Reserve Adequacy Indicators; Tables; 1. Volatilities of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific Economies; Box 1: Why Scale Reserves by Gross External Liabilities?; III. An Insurance Model of Optimal Reserves; 2. Output Loss in Asian Crisis; 3. Interest Rate Spreads; 4. Estimated Sterilization Financing Costs; 5. Foreign Reserves Levels: Optimal Vs. Actual; IV. A Threshold Model of Spreads-Reserves Elasticity; 6. Thresholds in the Spreads-Reserves Relations; V. Conclusions

7. Threshold Estimates of the Elasticity of EMBI Spreads with Respect to International Reserves Traditional Indicators 8. Threshold Estimates of the Elasticity of EMBI Spreads with Respect to International Reserves New Indicators; Figures; 1. Reserves in U.S. dollar, 1990-2007; 2. Reserves in percent of GDP, 1990-2007; 3. Reserves in months of exports of goods and services, 1990-2007; 4. Reserves in percent of short-term debt, 1990-2007; 5. Reserves in percent of gross external liabilities, 1990-2007; 6. Asia Emerging Markets: External Liabilities, 1990-2006

7. Reserves in percent of broad money, 1990-2007 8. Reserves to Financial System Deposits, Equities, and Bonds, 1990-2005; 9. The Optimal Level of International Reserves, 2007; 10. Optimal vs. Actual Levels of International Reserves in Asia; 11. The Optimal Level of International Reserves and Traditional Reserve Adequacy Indicators; 12. International Reserves and Threshold Estimates; Appendix; A.1. Variable Definitions and Sources; A.2. Summary Statistics; References

Notes:

Description based upon print version of record.

Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (ebrary, viewed February 26, 2014).

ISBN:

9786612841439

9781462336623

1462336620

9781452776323

1452776326

9781451870503

1451870507

9781282841437

1282841432

OCLC:

467921269