The opinion makers : an insider exposes the truth behind the polls / David W. Moore.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Moore, David W. (David William), 1940-

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Public opinion--United States.

Public opinion.

Election forecasting--United States.

Election forecasting.

Mass media--Political aspects--United States.

Mass media.

Press and politics--United States.

Press and politics.

Physical Description:

xvii, 196 p. : ill.

Place of Publication:

Boston : Beacon Press, c2008.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

On January 8, 2008, the date of the New Hampshire primary, media pollsters made their biggest prediction gaffe since dubbing Thomas Dewey a shoo-in to beat incumbent president Harry S. Truman. Eleven different polls forecast a solid win by Barack Obama; instead, Hillary Clinton took New Hampshire and recharged her candidacy. The months that followed only brought more dismal performances and contradictory results-undeniable evidence that something is terribly wrong with the polling industry today. It's easy to spot the election polls that get it wrong. Equally misleading and often far more disastrous are polls misrepresenting public opinion on government policy. For instance, in the period leading up to the U.S. invasion of Iraq, every major media poll showed substantial public support for a preemptive strike. In truth, there was no majority of Americans calling for war. For the first time, David W. Moore-praised as a "scholarly crusader" by the New York Times-reveals that pollsters don't report public opinion, they manufacture it. And they do so at the peril of our democratic process. While critics cry foul over partisan favoritism in the mainstream media, what's really at work is a power bias that polls legitimate by providing the stamp of public approval. Drawing on over a decade's experience at the Gallup Poll and a distinguished academic career in survey research, Moore describes the questionable tactics pollsters use to create poll-driven news stories-including force-feeding respondents, slanting question wording, and ignoring public ignorance on even the most arcane issues. More than proof that the numbers do lie, The Opinion Makers clearly and convincingly spells out how urgent it is that we make polls deliver on their promise to monitor, not manipulate, the pulse of democracy.

Contents:

Iraq and the polls: The myth of war support

Manufacturing public opinion

Telling Americans what they think

Inscrutable elections

Misreading the public

Damaging democracy

Uncertain future

A new direction.

Notes:

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Includes bibliographical references (p. 165-181) and index.

ISBN:

0-8070-9696-2

OCLC:

560637132