Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia / Sanjay Kalra.

Format:

Book

Government document

Author/Creator:

Kalra, Sanjay.

Series:

IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2008/208

IMF working paper ; WP/08/208

IMF Working Papers

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Foreign exchange rates--East Asia.

Foreign exchange rates.

Financial crises--East Asia.

Financial crises.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (33 p.)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2008.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall "flight to safety" effect. Estimates from GARCH models suggest that a 5 percentage point increase in mature market equity volatility generated an exchange rate depreciation of up to ½ percent. This sensitivity rose during the latter period in the sample, suggesting greater integration of Asian financial markets with global markets. Unconditional standard deviations estimated from these models also provide operational measures of "long-term" and "excess" volatility in forex markets. Long-run forex volatility declined as Asian economies settled down with generally stronger fundamentals in the post-crisis period to more flexible regimes along with a generally lower level of mature market volatility.

Contents:

Contents; I. Introduction; II. Methodology and Data; III. GARCH Models of East Asian Daily Forex Returns; IV. Empirical Results; A. Sensitivity of Forex Returns to Mature Equity Market Volatility; B. Conditional and Unconditional Volatility of Forex Returns:; C. Subsamples; V. Robustness; VI. Conclusions; Figures; 1. VIX and VDAX Indices; 2. Exchange Rates; 3. Daily Forex Returns; 4. Daily Squared Forex Returns; 5. FIX_AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models: Residuals; 6. VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models: Squared Residuals; 7. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: 2001-07

8. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2001-03Q29. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2003Q3-07; 10. Daily Conditional and Unconditional Volatilities: VIX Models, 2001-07; Tables; 1. Daily Foreign Exchange Return: Summary Statistics; 2. VIX and VDAX Indices: Summary Statistics; 3. Exchange Rates and Volatility Indices: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Statistics; 4. VAR Lag Order Selection Criteria; 5. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-07; 6. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-03Q2

7. Forex Returns and VIX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2003Q3-078. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-07; 9. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2001-03Q2; 10. Forex Returns and VDAX AR(2)-GARCH(1,1) Models, 2003Q3-0; References

Notes:

Description based upon print version of record.

Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (ebrary, viewed February 24, 2014).

ISBN:

9786612841590

9781462363865

1462363865

9781452754123

1452754128

9781282841598

1282841599

9781451870664

1451870663

OCLC:

762183935