Global employment trends [electronic resource] . 2013 : recovering from a second jobs dip.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

International Labour Office.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Labor market--Statistics.

Labor market.

Work.

Physical Description:

170 p.

Edition:

1st ed.

Other Title:

Recovering from a second jobs dip

Place of Publication:

Geneva : International Labour Office, 2013.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

The annual Global Employment Trends (GET) reports provide the latest global and regional estimates of employment and unemployment, employment by sector, vulnerable employment, labour productivity and working poverty, while also analysing country-level issues and trends in the labour market. Global Employment Trends 2013 highlights how the crisis is increasingly raising trend unemployment rates, partly driven by sectoral shifts of jobs that had been triggered by the crisis.

Contents:

Intro

Contents

Acknowledgements

Executive summary

1. Macroeconomic challenges have worsened

The global economic slowdown intensifies in 2012

Protectionism and policy incoherence could create further risks for the global economy

The economic outlook remains cloudy

Appendix 1. The ILO hiring uncertainty index

Appendix 2. Public sector, social security and labour market measures in selected countries

2. Global labour market trends and prospects

Unemployment is on the rise again, as job creation slows across most regions

Understanding the scope and nature of the global jobs gap

Trends in employment quality

Global outlook for labour markets

Appendix 1. Measuring skills mismatches

Appendix 2. Decomposing changes in employment-to-population ratios

3. Regional economic and labour market developments

Developed Economies and European Union

Central and South-Eastern Europe (non-EU) and CIS

Latin America and the Caribbean

East Asia

South-East Asia and the Pacific

South Asia

Middle East

North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

Appendix 1. Trend unemployment during the crisis

Appendix 2. Okun's coefficients and banking crises

Appendix 3. ILO Short-term forecasting models

4. Structural change for decent work

Introduction

Decomposing value added per capita growth

Labour markets benefit from structural change

Conclusion

Appendix 1. The decomposition of value added per capita growth

Appendix 2. Forecasts and imputations of value added

Appendix 3. Patterns of growth and labour market outcomes

5. Recovering from the second jobs dip: Challenges and policies

Tackle uncertainty to increase investment and job creation

Coordinate stimulus for global demand and employment creation

Address labour market mismatchand promote structural change.

Increase efforts to promote youth employment -with a special focus on long-term unemployment for youth

Bibliography

Annexes

Annex 1. Global and regional tables

Annex 2. Unemployment projections

Annex 3. Global and regional figures

Annex 4. Note on global and regional estimates

Annex 5. Note on global and regional projections

Annex 6. Global employment trends - Regional groupings

Tables

Table 1. Labour market situation and outlook

Table 2. Labour market trends in CSEE and CIS countries

Table 3. Labour market trends and prospects in Latin America and the Caribbean

Table 4. Labour productivity gains from sectoral reallocation

Table 5. Exports from East Asia to the Euro area, October 2011 - April 2012 (% change, year-on-year)

Table 6. Contributions of changes in labour productivity to value added per capita growth

Table 7. Cross-validation results on the precision of sectoral value added share predictions

Boxes

Box 1. How can uncertainty lead to increased unemployment?

Box 2. Concerns over growing skills mismatch

Box 3. New ILO estimates of employment across economic classes in the developing world

Box 4. What is measured by the Beveridge curve?

Box 5. Why do some asset price bubbles have worse effects on output and employment than others?

Box 6. Short-term sectoral forecast for the United States

Box 7. Employment-to-population ratios in Samoa

Box 8. Part-time work and underemployment in Indonesia

Box 9. Youth employment in the Occupied Palestinian Territory

Country spotlights

Country spotlight 1. Growth and job creation in selected EU countries

Country spotlight 2. Growth and job creation in Albania, the Russian Federation, Turkey and Ukraine

Country spotlight 3. Growth and job creation in Argentina, Chile, Mexico and Peru.

Country spotlight 4. Growth and job creation in Hong Kong, China, the Republic of Korea and Taiwan, China

Country spotlight 5. Growth and job creation in Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand

Country spotlight 6. Growth and job creation in Egypt and Morocco

Country spotlight 7. Growth and job creation in Mauritius and South Africa

Figures

Figure 1. Global and regional GDP growth estimates and projections, 2010-14 (annual % change)

Figure 2. Global unemployment trends and projections, 2002-17

Figure 3. Aggregate demand contributions to real GDP growth

Figure 4. Euro area European Central Bank loans (annualized growth rates)

Figure 5. Quarterly world merchandise trade by region, year-on-year percentage change

Figure 6. Policy incoherence between fiscal and monetary policy

Figure 7. Annual change in global unemployment and GDP growth, 1999-2017

Figure 8. Changes in GDP growth and unemployment rates, 2011-12, selected economies

Figure 9. Job destruction vs. unemployment duration (2007 vs. 2011)

Figure 10. Employment-to-population ratios by sex, world and regions, 2007 and 2012

Figure 11. Decomposition of changes in the employment-to-population ratio, 2007-12

Figure 12. Output per worker growth, world and regions, selected periods

Figure 13. Employment by economic class, 1991-2011, developing world

Figure 14. Investment is associated with a larger middle-class (2011)

Figure 15. Unemployment flows: Developed Economies and European Union countries

Figure 16. The evolution of NEET rates in selected European countries and the Euro area

Figure 17. Labour market participation gap

Figure 18. The Beveridge curve in Developed Economies

Figure 19. The Beveridge curve has moved outward in some advanced economies

Figure 20. Occupational shifts.

Figure 21. The responsiveness of job creation around banking crisis

Figure 22. Trend unemployment has increased (2011 vs. pre-crisis)

Figure 23. Unemployment flows: CSEE and CIS countries

Figure 24. Male and female labour force participation rate, CIS countries and Georgia, 2010

Figure 25. Male and female employment-to-population ratio, CIS countries and Georgia, 2010

Figure 26. Incidence of informal employment in Central and Eastern European Countries (2000 vs. 2010)

Figure 27. Trends and projections for vulnerable employment and working poverty

Figure 28. Output per worker (CSEE and CIS countries vs. Developed Economies)

Figure 29. Decomposition of labour productivity growth: CSEE vs. Developed Economies

Figure 30. Annual growth in Latin America, 1980-2017 (% change)

Figure 31. Unemployment flows: Latin America and the Caribbean

Figure 32. Informal employment in Latin America (selected countries, 2000 vs. 2010)

Figure 33. Declining working poverty and the emergence of a consumer class in Latin America and the Caribbean

Figure 34. Labour productivity in Latin America and the Caribbean improves less than the world average

Figure 35. Real gross domestic product, Q4 2011 - Q2 2012 (% change, year-on-year)

Figure 36. Trends in growth in output per worker, selected Asian countries, 2000-11

Figure 37. Variation in structural transformation in South Asia

Figure 38. Disparities in labour force participation rates (2011)

Figure 39. Youth unemployment rates in South Asia, latest available year

Figure 40. Unemployment rates by level of education, Sri Lanka and India (latest available period)

Figure 41. Unemployment rate in Middle Eastern countries (in %, latest year)

Figure 42. Public sector employment (latest available year).

Figure 43. Share of women and youth in total unemployment in North Africa, 1991-2012 (%)

Figure 44. Distribution of the working-age population in North Africa, 1991-2015 (%)

Figure 45. Occupational distribution in Egypt by sex, 2007 (%)

Figure 46. Occupational distribution in Morocco by sex, 2008 (%)

Figure 47. Regional shares in the global working-age population, 1991, 2012 and 2017 (projection)

Figure 48. Regional shares of youth population (in %), 1991-2017

Figure 49. Labour productivity in Sub-Saharan Africa and East Asia, 1991-2012 ('000s)

Figure 50. Employment distribution by status in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1991, 2000 and 2012

Figure 51. Decomposition of value added per capita growth into its components, by region and period

Figure 52. The relation of investment and structural change, 1999-2011

Figure 53. Vulnerable employment dynamics and contributors to value added per capita growth in developing economies

Figure 54. Working poverty dynamics and contributors to value added per capita growth in developing economies

Figure 55. Middle-class employment dynamics and contributors to value added per capita growth in developing economies

Figure 56. Youth unemployment dynamics and contributors to value added per capita growth in developing and developed economies

Figure 57. Dynamics in the labour force participation gap and contributors to value added per capita growth in developing and developed economies.

Notes:

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Includes bibliographical references.

ISBN:

92-2-126656-7

OCLC:

854520691