Do voters look to the future? : economics and elections / Brad Lockerbie.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Lockerbie, Brad, 1961-

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Elections--United States.

Elections.

Presidents--United States--Election.

Presidents.

Voting--United States.

Voting.

United States--Economic conditions.

United States.

United States. Congress--Elections.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (171 p.)

Place of Publication:

Albany : State University of New York Press, c2008.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

Do voters look to the past, the future, or both when deciding how to vote? In Do Voters Look to the Future?, Brad Lockerbie shows voters to be more sophisticated than much of the work in political science would suggest. He argues that voters do not simply reward or punish the incumbent administration, but instead make a comparative evaluation of the likely performance of each candidate and vote for the one that will most likely provide them with a prosperous future. Making use of data from 1956 through the present, Lockerbie finds that voters take into account both what has happened and what they think will happen when they vote. He finds these economic evaluations to be strongly related to voting behavior both for the House and the Senate, as well as the presidency. Additionally, Lockerbie examines the role of these economic items to explain changes in party identification.

Contents:

Introduction

Simple economic relationships

Party identification : is it changeable? Is it explicable?

Presidential elections : a more comprehensive view

Congressional elections : yes, the Senate too

Economics and politics : egocentric or sociotropic?

Forecasting elections

Concluding remarks.

Notes:

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Includes bibliographical references (p. 141-151) and index.

ISBN:

9780791478172

0791478173

9781435658813

1435658817

OCLC:

237797156