Big bets & black swans : a presidential briefing book : policy recommendations for President Obama in 2014 / Ted Piccone, Steven Pifer, Thomas Wright, editors.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Piccone, Theodore J.

Pifer, Steven.

Wright, Thomas.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

United States--Foreign relations--2009-.

United States.

United States--Politics and government--2009-.

Obama, Barack.

Obama, Barack--Political and social views.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (vii, 86 pages)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Washington, DC : Brookings Institution Press, [2014]

Language Note:

English

Summary:

President Obama has just three years left in office to define his legacy in world affairs. He's facing a number of critical challenges--the ongoing war in Syria, the Iran nuclear negotiations, an enigmatic North Korea and other significant crises in world affairs. The president's advisors are busy devising policy recommendations aimed at grappling with these thorny issues. From these, the president must decide which priorities to pursue and how to best exercise U.S. power and influence to manage and shape the global order. This book presents a set of policy analysis and recommendations from The Foreign Policy scholars at the Brookings Institution. Designed to provide the White House with innovative and actionable policy initiatives, the book is constructed as a series of memos to President Obama. This year, the memos are divided into five categories: * Big Bets are issues where the president should consider investing his power, time and prestige in major efforts that can have a transformational impact on America and the world. * Double Downs are derived from the Big Bets from last year's recommendations that the president should redouble his efforts on. * Black Swans are those low-probability but high-impact events that can divert the president and his administration's higher purposes, such as dramatic negative events that he will want to take steps in advance to avoid or to mitigate their consequences. * Nightmares are events that look more likely than a Black Swan and could prove particularly troublesome for U.S. interests and the global order, and for which the administration should prepare. * Holds are updated policy recommendations to stay the course on approaches suggested last year.

Contents:

Introduction / Ted Piccone, Steven Pifer, and Thomas Wright

Reassert U.S. leadership of a liberal global order / Robert Kagan and Ted Piccone

Secure the future of the Internet / Peter W. Singer and Ian Wallace

Solidify the U.S.-Afghanistan alliance / Michael E. O'Hanlon and Gen. John Allen (USMC, Ret.)

Lift the ban on U.S. oil exports / Tim Boersma and Charles K. Ebinger

Strengthen stability in Africa / Michael E. O'Hanlon

Broaden the approach to Iran / Suzanne Maloney

Pursue regime change in Syria / Michael Doran

Return to the Asia rebalance / Jonathan D. Pollack and Jeffrey A. Bader

Reach out to Cuba / Ted Piccone

Avert conflict in the South and East China seas / Richard C. Bush III, Bruce Jones, and Jonathan D. Pollack

Israeli-Palestinian violence erupts / Natan B. Sachs

Putin's Russia goes rogue / Fiona Hill and Steven Pifer

Venezuela breaks down in violence / Harold Trinkunas

Korean crisis prompts confrontation with China / Jonathan D. Pollack and Richard C. Bush III

Iran nuclear talks fail / Robert Einhorn and Kenneth Pollack

Afghanistan's presidential election goes awry / Vanda Felbab-Brown

Muslim Brotherhood radicalizes / Daniel L. Byman and Tamara Cofman Wittes

Avoid a U.S.-Saudi divorce / Bruce Riedel

Close the deal on free trade / Mireya Solis

Manage the impact of climate change / Elizabeth Ferris

Deepen economic ties to Turkey / Kemal Kirişci.

Notes:

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Description based on online resource; title from PDF title page (ebrary, viewed January 29, 2014).

ISBN:

9780815726067

0815726066

OCLC:

872678438