Global warming and agriculture : end-of-century estimates by country / William R. Cline.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Cline, William R.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Global warming.

Plants--Effect of global warming on.

Plants.

Crops and climate.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (203 p.)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Washington, D.C. : Institute for International Economics ; London : Eurospan [distributor], 2007.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

How will global warming affect developing countries, which rely heavily on agriculture as a source of economic growth? William Cline asserts that developing countries have more at risk, such as their production capacity, than industrial countries as global warming worsens. Using general circulation models, Cline boldly examines 2071-99 to forecast the effects of global warming and its economic impact into the next decade. This detailed study outlines existing studies on climate change; Cline finds the Stern Report for the UK government's estimates most reliable; estimates projected changes in temperature, precipitation, and agricultural capacity; and concludes with policy recommendations. Cline finds that agricultural production in developing countries may fall an average of 16 percent, and if global warming progresses at its current rate, India's agricultural capacity could fall as much as 40 percent. Thus, policymakers should address this phenomenon now before the world's developing countries are adversely and irreversibly affected.

Contents:

Introduction and overview

Brief survey of existing literature

Key issues: carbon fertilization, irrigation, and trade

Country-level climate projections

Country-level agricultural impact estimates

Dynamic considerations

Conclusion.

Notes:

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN:

9786611060954

9781281060952

128106095X

9780881324808

0881324809

9781435609228

1435609220

OCLC:

503439697