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Iran's nuclear future : critical U.S. policy choices / Lynn E. Davis ... [et al.].
- Format:
- Book
- Series:
- Rand Corporation monograph series.
- Rand Corporation monograph series ; MG-1087-AF
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Nuclear arms control--Iran.
- Nuclear arms control.
- Nuclear weapons--Iran.
- Nuclear weapons.
- Iran--Foreign relations--United States.
- Iran.
- Iran--Strategic aspects.
- United States--Foreign relations--Iran.
- United States.
- United States--Military policy.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (xxv, 125 pages) : illustrations, color maps (digital, PDF file).
- Edition:
- 1st ed.
- Place of Publication:
- Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2011.
- Language Note:
- English
- Summary:
- As Iran's nuclear program evolves, U.S. decision makers will confront a series of critical policy choices involving complex considerations and policy trade-offs. These policy choices could involve dissuading Iran from developing nuclear weapons; deterring Iran from using its nuclear weapons, if it were to acquire them; and reassuring U.S. regional partners. The U.S. Air Force will need to prepare to carry out whatever policies are chosen.
- Contents:
- Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; Chapter One Introduction; Study Objectives and Scope; Analysis Framework for the New Strategic Environment; Step 1: Conduct Regional Analyses; Step 2: Define Ways to Achieve U.S. Goals for Nuclear Dissuasion,Deterrence, and Reassurance; Step 3: Define and Assess Critical U.S. Policy Choices; Step 4: Describe U.S. Air Force Contributions; How Our Analytical Approach Differs from Others; Organization of This Monograph; Chapter Two Influencing Iran; Iran's National Security Interests
- Ensuring Regime Survival Protecting the Homeland Against All External Threats; Expanding Regional Influence; Can Iran Be Expected to Act Rationally?; Iran's Nuclear Program: Prospects and Uncertainties; Internal Debate on the Future of Iran's Nuclear Program; Chapter Three Dissuading Iran from Nuclear Weaponization; Iranian Actions That the United States Wishes to Dissuade; Current U.S. Policies Toward Iran's Nuclear Program; Critical U.S. Policy Choices; Raise Costs; Provide Incentives; Conclusion; Chapter Four Deterring a Nuclear-Armed Iran; Iran's Military Behavior and Planning
- Historical Military Behavior Military Doctrine; Conventional Capabilities; Military Exercises; Paths to Conflict; Conflict in Response to International Pressures and Actions Perceived as Acts of War; Conflict in Response to a U.S. or Israeli Attack Against Iran's Nuclear Facilities; Conflict to Expand Regional Influence or Consolidate Domestic Power; Iran's Potential Use of Nuclear Weapons; Current U.S. Policies and Capabilities; Policy Choices for Deterring Iran's Use of Nuclear Weapons Against U.S. Military Forces; Deter by Managing Conflict Escalation
- Deter by Raising the Costs of Using Nuclear Weapons by Threat of Retaliation Deter by Denying Iran the Benefits of Using Nuclear Weapons; Policy Choices for Deterring Iran's Use of Nuclear Weapons Against U.S. Regional Partners; Conclusion; Chapter Five Reassuring U.S. Regional Partners; The Setting; Views of the GCC States; Views of Israel; Current U.S. Policies for Reassurance; U.S. Reassurance Goal: Ensure Confidence in Credibility of a U.S. Nuclear Deterrent; Explicit and Public Security Guarantees; U.S. Conventional Forces; U.S. Nuclear-Related Military Activities; U.S. Nuclear Guarantee
- Conclusion Chapter Four Approaches to Influencing Iran; Approaches to Influencing Iran; Chapter : 7; Air Force Contributions and Preparing for the Future; The Way Ahead; Appendixes; A. Context for U.S. Reassurance Strategies: GCC; B. Context for U.S. Reassurance Strategies: Israel; Bibliography
- Notes:
- Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.
- "MG-1087-AF".
- "Prepared for the United States Air Force."
- "RAND Project Air Force."
- Includes bibliographical references.
- ISBN:
- 1-283-13586-8
- 9786613135865
- 0-8330-5308-6
- OCLC:
- 735601867
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