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Whither al-Anbar Province? : five scenarios through 2011 / James B. Bruce, Jeffrey Martini.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Bruce, James B.
- Series:
- Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-278-MCIA.
- RAND Corporation occasional paper series ; OP-278-MCIA
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Social prediction--Iraq--Anbar (Province)--Case studies--Congresses.
- Social prediction.
- Social change--Iraq--Anbar (Province)--Congresses.
- Social change.
- Iraq War, 2003-2011--Influence--Congresses.
- Iraq War, 2003-2011.
- Disengagement (Military science)--Congresses.
- Disengagement (Military science).
- United States--Armed Forces--Congresses.
- United States.
- Anbār (Iraq : Province)--Politics and government--21st century--Forecasting--Congresses.
- Anbār (Iraq : Province).
- Anbār (Iraq : Province)--Social conditions--21st century--Forecasting--Congresses.
- Anbār (Iraq : Province)--Economic conditions--21st century--Forecasting--Congresses.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (28 p.)
- Edition:
- 1st ed.
- Place of Publication:
- Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2010.
- Language Note:
- English
- Summary:
- As U.S. forces withdraw from Iraq, significant changes can be expected throughout al-Anbar Province in security, political, economic, and even cultural relationships. RAND convened a series of three one-day workshops at which participants identified five relatively distinct futures, or scenarios, for al-Anbar that provide plausible but alternative trajectories for the province between early 2009 and the end of 2011.
- Contents:
- Executive summary
- What does the future hold for Iraq's al-Anbar Province?
- How this study was conducted
- Implications
- Major takeaways
- Study approach
- Assumptions
- Drivers
- Scenario A: Sunni fight for survival
- Scenario B: Every clan for itself
- Scenario C: Iron fist
- Scenario D: Glueless in Baghdad
- Scenario E: Path to stability
- The importance of drivers
- Indications and warnings
- Conclusions and implications.
- Notes:
- Report of results of three RAND workshops held in November and December 2008.
- "The research ... was conducted in the National Defense Research Institute."
- Includes bibliographical references.
- ISBN:
- 1-282-94056-2
- 9786612940569
- 0-8330-5081-8
- OCLC:
- 686707068
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