Making policy in the shadow of the future / Gregory F. Treverton.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Treverton, Gregory F.

Contributor:

National Intelligence Council (U.S.)

Series:

Occasional paper (Rand Corporation) ; OP-298-RC.

Occasional paper ; OP-298-RC

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Political planning--United States.

Political planning.

National security--United States.

National security.

United States--Foreign relations.

United States.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (56 p.)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2010.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

The National Intelligence Council's 2008 report ""Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World"" projects what the world will look like in 2025 based on recent trends. This paper asks: How should U.S. policy adapt now to account for these trends and the future that will result from them? The author explores such issues as climate change, defense, international relations, and the structure of the federal government.

Contents:

Cover; Title Page; Copyright; Preface; Contents; Figure and Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Section 1 - Introduction; Section 2 - Shaping U.S. Policy for 2025; Multipolar World, Increased Role of Transnational Actors; Transfer of Wealth from West to East; The United States as the Most Powerful Absolutely, Just Less So Relatively; Unprecedented Economic Growth, More People, and More Pressure on Resources; Destabilizing Youth Bulges Diminish, but Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Others Still Problematic; Increased Potential for Conflict, Given Middle East Turbulence and Proliferating Weaponry

Fewer but Perhaps More-Lethal TerroristsExcursion: The Global Economic Crisis.; Global Crisis, Global Consequences.; Hyping the Debt; National Regulation and International Cooperation.; Key Uncertainties; Section 3 - Where Might Longer-Term Thinking Change Short-Run Policy?; Right for 2025 and Right for Now; Reshaping Approaches to Energy and Climate Change.; The Context of the "Threat"; Building Capacity for Adapting.; An Agenda for Now; Fiscal Discipline After the Immediate Economic Crisis Is Passed; The Effect of Revolutions in Military Affairs; The Emerging Post-Iraq War Debate

The Diffusion of Nuclear WeaponsThe Diffusion of Precision-Guided Munitions; War Through Cyberspace; Visions of the Nuclear Future; Reshaping International Law and Institutions; Refashioning Domestic Institutions; Whither Mexico?; Extending Long-Term Thinking; Back Cover

Notes:

Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.

Based on a report submitted by the National Intelligence Council.

"RAND Investment in People and Ideas."

Also available online.

Includes bibliographical references.

ISBN:

1-282-94049-X

9786612940491

0-8330-5074-5

OCLC:

676697340