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Implications of modern decision science for military decision-support systems / Paul K. Davis, Jonathan Kulick, Michael Egner.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Davis, Paul K., 1943-
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Military planning--United States--Decision making--Data processing.
- Military planning.
- Decision support systems.
- United States. Air Force--Research.
- United States.
- Physical Description:
- 1 online resource (181 p.)
- Edition:
- 1st ed.
- Place of Publication:
- Santa Monica, CA : Rand, Project Air Force, 2005.
- Language Note:
- English
- Summary:
- An overview of higher-level decisionmaking and modern methods to improve decision support
- Contents:
- Cover; Preface; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Acronyms; Chapter One - Introductions; Objective; Definition and Scope; Descriptive Versus Prescriptive Research; Approach in This Monograph; Chapter Two - Human Decisionmaking; How to Think About Decisionmaking; Images of the Decision Process; The Problems of Heuristics and Biases; The Naturalistic School; Military and National-Security OperationalDecisionmaking; Chapter Three - Classic Analysis Concepts and Their Evolution; Decision Analysis and Game Theory; Systems Analysis; Policy Analysis
- Summary of Classic Analysis Components of DecisionScienceChapter Four - Advanced Decision Science for Analysis; Introduction; Broad Methods; Enablers; Chapter Five - the Research Frontier: Reconciling Analytic and Intuitive Considerations; Introduction; Improving Automated Decision Support; Balancing Cold and Story-Based Decision Support; General Recommendations; Chapter Six - Conclusions; The Decisionmaking Component; The Analysis Component; Appendix A - Debiasing an Air Campaign; Appendix B - Rethinking Families of Models; Appendix C - Further Discussion of Judgmental Bias and DSS
- Bibliography
- Notes:
- "Prepared for the United States Air Force, approved for Public release; distribution unlimited."
- "MG-360-AF"--P. [4] cover.
- Includes bibliographical references.
- ISBN:
- 0-8330-4088-X
- OCLC:
- 781422353
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