Estimating terrorism risk / Henry H. Willis ... [et al.].

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Willis, Henry H.

Rand Corporation.

Series:

Rand Corporation monograph series.

Rand Corporation monograph series

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Terrorism--United States--Prevention.

Terrorism.

Terrorism--Risk assessment--United States.

Federal aid to terrorism prevention--United States--Planning.

Federal aid to terrorism prevention.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (93 p.)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, CA : RAND, 2005.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

This monograph provides a practical definition of terrorism risk, presents a method of estimating it, and demonstrates a framework for evaluating this method. Results support conclusions on how to improve risk-based resource allocation.

Contents:

The RAND Center for Terrorism Risk Management Policy; Center for Terrorism Risk Management AdvisoryBoard; Preface; Contents; Figures; Tables; Summary; Acknowledgments; Glossary; CHAPTER ONE- Introduction; Risk Assessment Versus Resource Allocation; Scope and Limitations; Overview of This Monograph; CHAPTER TWO- Terrorism Risk and Its Components; Threat; Vulnerability; Consequences; Risk as a Function of Threat, Vulnerability, andConsequences; CHAPTER THREE- Accounting for Uncertainty and Values in Terrorism Risk Assessment

Uncertainties in the Estimation of Threat, Vulnerability,and ConsequencesReflecting Values in Terrorism Risk Management; Implications of Uncertainty and Values for Managing Terrorism Risk; CHAPTER FOUR- Two Approaches to Estimating Terrorism Risk in Urban Areas; Simple Risk Indicators: Population-Based Metrics; Event-Based Models: The RMS Terrorism Risk Model; Comparison of Population, Density-Weighted Population,and the Aggregated Estimate of Urban Area Risk Shares; CHAPTER FIVE- Evaluating the Performance of Different Estimates of Terrorism Risk; The Performance of Terrorism Risk Estimates

CHAPTER SIX- Conclusions and RecommendationsDefining Terrorism Risk; Reflecting Uncertainty in Terrorism Risk Assessment; Simple Versus Event-Based Risk Estimates; Recommendations; APPENDIX- Supporting Figures and Table; Bibliography

Notes:

"MG-388-RC"--P. [4] of cover.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 63-66).

ISBN:

0-8330-4093-6

OCLC:

781424032