Macroeconomic forecasting : a sociological appraisal / Robert Evans.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Evans, Robert, 1968- author.

Series:

Routledge studies in the modern world economy.

Routledge studies in the modern world economy

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Economic forecasting.

Macroeconomics--Econometric models.

Macroeconomics.

Physical Description:

1 online resource (254 p.)

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

London ; New York : Routledge, 1999.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

Drawing on interviews with the UK government's Panel of Independent Forecasters, the author shows how economic models, forecasts and policy analysis depend crucially upon the judgements of economists.

Contents:

Book Cover; Title; Contents; List of figures; List of tables; List of equations; List of models; Acknowledgements; Who knows what tomorrow brings? Brief introductions to the sociology of scientific knowledge and to economic forecasting; Cherished beliefs and t-statistics: how economic models are estimated; Extrapolations and expertise: how economic forecasts are made; Soothsaying or science? Choosing between economic models; Different models: economic forecasts in February 1993; Different futures: controversies and disputes in July 1993

Difficult choices: policy recommendations in October 1993Economic models, economic policy and science studies; Appendix A: equations used in the econometric model; Notes; Bibliography; Interviews; Index

Notes:

Description based upon print version of record.

Includes bibliographical references (p. 214-223) and index.

ISBN:

1-280-33230-1

1-134-62346-1

0-203-25509-7

0-203-02720-5

9780203027202

OCLC:

264514847