Demographic change in Sub-Saharan Africa / Karen A. Foote, Kenneth H. Hill, and Linda G. Martin, editors ; Panel on the Population Dynamics of Sub-Saharan Africa, Committee on Population, Commission on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Foote, Karen A.

Hill, Ken, 1945-

Martin, Linda G., 1947-

National Research Council (U.S.). Panel on the Population Dynamics of Sub-Saharan Africa.

Series:

Population dynamics of Sub-Saharan Africa.

Population dynamics of Sub-Saharan Africa

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Demographic transition--Africa, Sub-Saharan.

Demographic transition.

Fertility, Human--Africa, Sub-Saharan.

Fertility, Human.

Africa, Sub-Saharan--Population.

Africa, Sub-Saharan.

Physical Description:

xv, 379 p. : ill., maps.

Edition:

1st ed.

Place of Publication:

Washington, D.C. : National Academy Press, 1993.

Language Note:

English

Summary:

This overview includes chapters on child mortality, adult mortality, fertility, proximate determinants, marriage, internal migration, international migration, and the demographic impact of AIDS.

Contents:

Intro

DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGE IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

Copyright

Preface

Contents

1 Introduction

REFERENCES

2 Fertility Levels, Differentials, and Trends

INTRODUCTION

SOURCES AND QUALITY OF DEMOGRAPHIC DATA IN AFRICA

METHODS FOR ESTIMATING TOTAL FERTILITY RATES

CHARACTERISTICS OF AFRICAN FERTILITY

Estimates of Total Fertility Rates

Shape of the Fertility Distribution

First Births

Timing of Subsequent Births

Socioeconomic Differentials in Achieved Family Size

Place of Residence

Level of Education

RECENT EVIDENCE OF A FERTILITY DECLINE IN COUNTRIES PARTICIPATING IN THE DHS

Group A: Countries in Which Fertility Declines Have Occurred

Group B: Countries in Which Fertility May be Declining

COMPARISON OF RECENT FERTILITY TRENDS IN AFRICA AND OTHER DEVELOPING REGIONS

CONCLUSIONS

3 The Proximate Determinants of Fertility

DATA

FRAMEWORK

Marriage or Union Patterns

Contraception

Postpartum Infecundability

Pathological or Primary Sterility

Summary of Model

EMPIRICAL RESULTS

National-Level Results for DHS Countries

Marriage

Pathological Sterility

Interpreting the Results

Summary

Differentials for DHS Countries

Age

Residence

Education

Change Over Time: Comparison of WFS and DHS Results

Kenya

Senegal

Sudan

Ghana

CONCLUSION

TECHNICAL NOTES

Data Sources

Derivation of Indices

Index of Marriage

Measured Births Outside Marriage and Adjusted Index of Marriage

Index of Contraception

Index of Postpartum Infecundability

Index of Sterility

Effects of Indices

APPENDIX

4 Recent Trends in Marriage Ages

CONCEPTUAL AND MEASUREMENT ISSUES

Definitions

Problems of Recall and of Age Reporting.

Measurement

ASCERTAINING TIME TRENDS IN AGE AT MARRIAGE

Retrospective Evidence from Surveys

Evidence from Current Status Data

AGE AT MARRIAGE AND FERTILITY

Evidence from Retrospective Reports

Proportions Ever Married and Children Ever Born

Changes in Proportions Married and Children Ever Born

APPENDIX: MEDIAN AND MEAN AGE AT FIRST MARRIAGE

5 Trends in Childhood Mortality

DATA DEVELOPMENTS SINCE 1987

NEW COUNTRY DATA AND RESULTS

Botswana and Zimbabwe

Middle and Eastern Africa

Western Africa

Senegal, Mali, Burkina Faso, and The Gambia

Togo, Ghana, and Côte d'Ivoire

Liberia

Nigeria

OVERVIEW OF TRENDS IN COUNTRIES WITH NEW DATA

CONCLUSIONS ON CHILDHOOD MORTALITY TRENDS

APPENDIX A: SUMMARIZATION PROCESS FOR TABLE 5-2: COUNTRY NOTES

General Note on Methodology

Country Analyses

APPENDIX B

6 Adult Mortality

SOURCES OF DATA

METHODS OF ANALYSIS

ADULT MORTALITY LEVELS

Gender Differentials

Age Patterns of Mortality

Trends in Female Mortality

Socioeconomic and Areal Differentials

CAUSES OF DEATH

7 Internal Migration, Urbanization, and Population Distribution

INTERNAL MIGRATION

Conceptual Issues and the State of the Art

Data and Data Collection Methods

Spatial Patterns

Rural-Rural Migration

Rural-Urban Migration

Urban-Rural and Interurban Migration

Return Migration

Migration Selectivity and Differentials

Age Selectivity

Sex Differentials

Educational Differentials

Occupational Characteristics

Determinants of Migration

External Factors

Government Policies and Programs

Community-Level Variables.

Household Decisions and Considerations

Environmental and Resource Factors

URBANIZATION

Conceptual and Measurement Issues

Urbanization Levels and Trends

Urban Population Size

Rate of Urban Growth

Proportion of Urban Population

Components of Urban Population Growth

Demographic Components

POPULATION DISTRIBUTION AND DENSITY

Population Density

Population Redistribution

8 International Migration

DATA SOURCES

REGIONAL PATTERNS

Middle Africa

Eastern Africa

Southern Africa

MIGRATION OF THE HIGHLY SKILLED AND EMIGRATION FROM THE CONTINENT

EFFECTS OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION ON AGE AND SEX DISTRIBUTIONS

Lesotho

Mauritania

Malawi

Congo

9 Models of the Demographic Effect of AIDS

EPIDEMIOLOGY OF AIDS IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA

PURPOSES AND TYPES OF HIV/AIDS MODELS: GENERAL CONSIDERATIONS

EXISTING HIV/AIDS MODELS

Statistical Extrapolation and Back-Calculation Models

Epidemic Models

Demographic/Behavioral Models

Demographic Models

Sexual Behavior Simulation Models

Analytic Models

Model Results

UN/GPA Workshop Results

Input Values

Results

Other Model Results

Model Uncertainties

Heterogeneity with Regard to Sexual and IV Drug Behavior

Communicability of Groups with Regard to Sexual and IV Drug Behavior

Probability of Transmission by Sexual Contact

Cofactors

Distribution of the Incubation Period

Duration-Dependent Infectivity

SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

REFERENCES.

Notes:

Bibliographic Level Mode of Issuance: Monograph

Includes bibliographical references.

ISBN:

9786610196142

9781280196140

1280196149

9780309564328

0309564328

OCLC:

923268162