Russia and the West after the Ukrainian Crisis : European vulnerabilities to Russian pressures / F. Stephen Larrabee, Stephanie Pezard, Andrew Radin, Nathan Chandler, Keith Crane, Thomas S. Szayna.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Larrabee, F. Stephen, author.

Pézard, Stéphanie, author.

Radin, Andrew, author.

Chandler, Nathan, author.

Crane, Keith, 1953- author.

Contributor:

Arroyo Center, publisher, issuing body.

Rand Corporation, issuing body.

Series:

Research report (Rand Corporation)

Research report ; no. 1305

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

National security--European Union countries.

National security.

Security, International.

International relations.

Economic security.

Energy security.

European Union countries.

Energy security--European Union countries.

Economic security--European Union countries.

European Union countries--Strategic aspects.

Russia (Federation)--Strategic aspects.

Russia (Federation).

European Union countries--Foreign relations--Russia (Federation)--21st century.

Russia (Federation)--Foreign relations--European Union countries--21st century.

Security, International--21st century.

Diplomatic relations.

Strategic aspects of individual places.

Physical Description:

xvii, 81 pages : color illustrations, color map ; 23 cm.

Other Title:

European Vulnerabilities to Russian Pressures

Place of Publication:

Santa Monica, Calif. : RAND, [2017]

Summary:

"In the wake of Russia's annexation of Crimea and continued aggression in eastern Ukraine, the rest of Europe has been forced to reassess its approach to a regional security environment previously thought to be stable and relatively benign. This report analyzes the vulnerability of European states to various possible forms of Russian influence, pressure, and intimidation and examines four areas of potential European vulnerability: military, trade and investment, energy, and politics. We find that European countries differ widely in their vulnerability to possible Russian actions. Whereas the states in southern or western parts of Europe have some economic vulnerability, Northern and Central European states have greater exposure to Russian actions due to their proximity to Russia, their history of recent domination by the Soviet Union, and, in some cases, the continuing legacies of the Soviet empire. Energy represents a lesser source of vulnerability for Europe than is generally perceived. If Russia were to halt oil exports to Europe, Europe could easily import oil from other suppliers. European countries could also find alternative measures if Russia were to interrupt flows of gas, although a few smaller economies would be less resilient than larger ones. Finally, Russia could try to exploit the political vulnerabilities of a number of countries, from Russian minorities issues in the Baltic states to the rise of populist parties in the rest of Europe"--Publisher's description.

Contents:

Chapter 1 Introduction 1

Chapter 2 Military Vulnerabilities 3

Russian Doctrine and Capabilities 4

Possible Scenarios in the Baltics 7

Sweden and Finland 11

U.S. and European Responses 12

Conclusion 15

Chapter 3 Trade and Financial Vulnerabilities 17

Foreign Trade 18

Foreign Direct and Portfolio Investment 23

Conclusion 27

Chapter 4 European Energy Vulnerabilities 29

Crude Oil and Refined Products 30

Natural Gas 33

Other Energy Sources and Products 46

Western Energy Companies and Russia 47

Conclusion 49

Chapter 5 Political Vulnerabilities 51

Minority Issues 51

Russian Links with European Populist and Extremist Parties 54

Could Pro-Russian Parties Influence EU Policy? 56

The Challenge of Maintaining European Unity on Russia Policy 60

Conclusion 67

Chapter 6 Conclusion 69.

ISBN:

9780833093066

0833093061

OCLC:

969827796