Make or break : how the next three years will shape South Africa's next three decades / Richard Calland.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Calland, Richard, author.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

African National Congress--History--21st century.

African National Congress.

Power (Social sciences).

Social change.

Politics and government.

History.

South Africa--Politics and government--21st century.

South Africa.

Social change--South Africa.

Democracy--South Africa.

Democracy.

Power (Social sciences)--South Africa.

South Africa--Foreign relations.

International relations.

Diplomatic relations.

Genre:

History.

Physical Description:

xiv, 184 pages : illustrations ; 23 cm

Place of Publication:

Cape Town, South Africa : Zebra Press, [2016]

Summary:

The next three years will determine whether South Africa succeeds or fails in the long term. Jacob Zuma's term as president is due to end in 2019, though he could go earlier. Who will succeed him and what will be the impact on policy? The ANC's dominance has been significantly dented after opposition parties gained ground in the 2016 local government elections, but will the minority and coalition governments in key cities hold or fall apart? The economy is in trouble, and the National Treasury has been buffeted by a struggle for power at the centre of government. Will Pravin Gordhan and his band of reformers survive and succeed? The public protector's term ends in October 2016. Will her successor hold the line? The judiciary is under pressure, and several positions have opened up on the Constitutional Court bench. Will the rule of law be maintained? Looking at these and other issues, Richard Calland presents scenarios for the country's future, showing how the next few years are the most critical since the early 1990s, and how South Africa can set itself on a path to success or failure. It really is make or break time. Book jacket.

Contents:

Preface and acknowledgements

Abbreviations and acronyms

Introduction: Game on!: How Zumas grave 9/12 miscalculation reset South Africas political trajectory

The last frontier: Can the judges hold the line?

David 3, Goliath 2: How the public protector became the people's champion

Appointing judges, Malema-style: The Constitutional Court and the importance of the JSC

Game changer: The 2016 local government elections

What next for the ANC?: When will Zuma go and who will succeed him?

A delicate time, in a dangerous year...: Where to from here for Number One?

Risk on, risk off: Team Treasury and the pivotal role of Pravin Gordhan

Will the centre hold?: Reasons to be cheerful...and gravely concerned

Conclusion, Six questions and six answers: As well as two scenarios for the future and nine signposts along the road

Notes

Index.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references (pages 169-175) and index.

ISBN:

9781776090761

1776090764

9781776090778

1776090772

OCLC:

962343199

Publisher Number:

99969969871