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Predicting the next president : the keys to the White House / Allan J. Lichtman.
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Lichtman, Allan J., author.
- Standardized Title:
- Keys to the White House
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- Presidents--United States--Election--Forecasting.
- Presidents.
- Presidents--United States--Election--History.
- Political indicators.
- Forecasting.
- United States.
- History.
- Election forecasting--United States.
- Election forecasting.
- Political indicators--United States.
- Presidents--Election.
- Presidents--Election--Forecasting.
- Genre:
- History.
- Physical Description:
- xii, 225 pages ; 23 cm
- Edition:
- 2016 edition.
- Place of Publication:
- Lanham, Maryland : Rowman & Littlefield, 2016.
- Summary:
- Do you think that Mitt Romney's "47%" comment caused him to Jose the 2012 presidential election? Or that Richard Nixon lost the 1960 presidential election because he sweated on TV? Maybe John Kerry was "swiftboated" out of the presidency in 2004? Think again! In Predicting the Next President, political analyst and historian Allan J. Lichtman presents thirteen historical factors, or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections. In the chronological, successful application of these keys to every election since 1860, Lichtman dispels much of the mystery behind electoral polities and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies who want to get a head start on calling Decision 2016. Book jacket.
- Contents:
- Logic of the keys : how presidential elections really work
- Turning the keys to the presidency
- Civil War and reconstruction
- The gilded age
- Rise and fall of progressivism
- Depression, war, and cold war
- New directions, war, and scandal
- Reagan and beyond
- A false dawn for Democrats
- The winds of political change :2008
- Stability in the White House : 2012
- Will the Obama legacy stand? : forecast for 2016
- Lessons of the keys : toward a new presidential politics.
- Notes:
- Includes bibliographical references and index.
- Other Format:
- Online version: Lichtman, Allan J., author. Predicting the next president
- ISBN:
- 9781442269200
- 1442269200
- OCLC:
- 944086782
- Publisher Number:
- 99967905365
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