Tajikistan's winter energy crisis : electricity supply and demand alternatives / Daryl Fields, Artur Kochnakyan, Takhmina Mukhamedova, Gary Stuggins, and John Besant-Jones.

Format:

Book

Government document

Author/Creator:

Fields, Daryl.

Series:

World Bank study

A world bank study

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Electric utilities--Tajikistan.

Electric utilities.

Electric power consumption--Tajikistan.

Electric power consumption.

Energy policy--Tajikistan.

Energy policy.

Renewable energy sources--Tajikistan.

Renewable energy sources.

Tajikistan.

Physical Description:

xviii, 93 pages : illustrations ; 26 cm.

Place of Publication:

Washington D.C. : The World Bank, [2013]

Summary:

Tajikistan's Winter Energy Crisis: Electricity Supply and Demand Alternatives is part of the World Bank Studies series. These papers are published to communicate the results of the Bank's ongoing research and to stimulate public discussion. Tajikistan suffers severe energy shortages in winter, caused by a combination of low hydropower output during winter, when river flows are low, and high demand driven by heating needs. Shortages affect some 70 percent of the population, costing about 3 percent of annual GDP. This figure excludes human and environmental costs, as well as the serious negative effect on the business investment climate. If no measures are undertaken to address this problem, then current electricity shortages, estimated at about one-quarter of winter demand (2,700 GWh), could increase to more than one-third of winter demand (4,500 GWh) by 2016. The Government of Tajikistan recognizes both the importance and challenges of energy security and has therefore introduced various measures to help meet demand. Tajikistan's Winter Energy Crisis explores a range of supply and demand alternatives-including thermal, run-of-river hydro, other renewables, energy efficiency, and demand management-to further inform its development partners on the country's efforts to meet its winter energy demand. The study recommends that the Government of Tajikistan, accelerate its efforts in energy efficiency and demand management, including tariff reform; add new dual-fired thermal power supply to complement the existing hydropower supply during winter; and, pursue energy imports and rebuild regional energy trade routes to leverage surplus electricity supply in neighboring countries. Energy conservation and demand-side management, effective resource management, and reduction alone could address 40 percent of the shortages, including a significant package of economic measures at the main aluminum smelting plant. The study suggests that by following these recommended actions shortages could be significantly reduced within 4-5 years and a solid base for long-term energy established. World Ban Studies are available individually or on standing order. This World Bank Studies series is also available online through the World Bank e-library (www.worldbank.org/elibrary). Book jacket.

Contents:

Chapter 1 Purpose of the Study 1

Chapter 2 The Tajik Market for Electricity 3

The Evolving Energy Market in Tajikistan 3

Current Demand for Electricity 4

Demand Projections 6

Export Opportunities 21

Notes 22

Chapter 3 Alternatives for New Electricity Supply 25

Characteristics of the Existing Power Supply System 25

Rehabilitation of Hydropower Plants 26

Hydropower Development 28

Thermal Power Plants 30

Imports 33

Nonhydro Renewable Energy (RE) 38

Notes 39

Chapter 4 Targeting Energy Shortages 41

Alternatives to the Year 2020 41

Costs, Affordability, and Financeability 47

Challenges and Opportunities 51

Notes 52

Chapter 5 The Long-Term View 55

Maximizing the Value of Hydropower 55

Securing a Hydrothermal Balance 57

Chapter 6 Priority Actions 59.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references (page 93).

ISBN:

9780821399675

0821399675

OCLC:

842208789