Risk analysis and human behavior / Baruch Fischhoff.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Fischhoff, Baruch, 1946-

Series:

Earthscan risk in society series ; 26.

Earthscan risk in society series ; 26

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Risk perception.

Risk-taking (Psychology).

Decision making.

Risk--Sociological aspects.

Risk.

Physical Description:

xiv, 418 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm.

Place of Publication:

Abingdon, Oxon ; New York : Earthscan, 2012.

Summary:

The articles collected here are foundational contributions to incorporating behavioural research in risk analysis. On the one hand, they address the questions of how to communicate with the public about risks, learning about the public 's concern and addressing them with responsive risk management and authoritative communications. On the other hand, they address the questions of how to ensure that risk analyses make realistic assumptions about how people will behave, when they are part of risky systems, and what role expert judgment plays in analytical results. Ensuring behaviourally realistic risk analysis has been a central mission of the author 's career and here he achieves the clarity long sought for. These articles touch on each fundamental area, demonstrating the possibilities for collaborative applied research and the basic research that it impels.

Contents:

Part I Overview 1

1 Risk perception and communication / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 3

2 Cognitive processes in stated preference methods / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 33

Part II Behaviorally realistic risk analysis 67

3 Cost-benefit analysis and the art of motorcycle maintenance / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 69

4 Individuals' decisions affecting radiation exposure after a nuclear explosion / H. Keith Florig Florig, H. Keith, Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 98

5 Predicting emergency evacuation and sheltering behavior: a structured analytical approach / Matt Dombroski Dombroski, Matt, Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch, Paul Fischbeck Fischbeck, Paul 114

6 An integrative approach for label evaluation and design / Donna M. Riley Riley, Donna M., Bamch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Bamch, Mitchell Small Small, Mitchell 140

7 Analyzing disaster risks and plans: an avian flu example / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch, Wändi Bruine de Bruin Bruin, Wändi Bruine de, Ümit Güvenç Güvenç, Ümit, Denise Caruso Caruso, Denise, Larry Brilliant Brilliant, Larry 149

Part III Social context of behavioral research 173

8 Lay foibles and expert fables in judgments about risk / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch, Paul Slovic Slovic, Paul, Sarah Lichtenstein Lichtenstein, Sarah 175

9 Risk perception and communication unplugged: twenty years of process / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 208

10 Non-persuasive communication about matters of greatest urgency: climate change / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 223

Part IV Risk communication 233

11 What forecasts (seem to) mean / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 235

12 Parents' vaccination comprehension and decisions / Julie S. Downs Downs, Julie S., Wändi Bruine de Bruin Bruin, Wändi Bruine de, Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 260

13 Development and evaluation of an HIV/AIDS knowledge measure for adolescents focusing on misconceptions / Wändi Bruine de Bruin Bruin, Wändi Bruine de, Julie S. Downs Downs, Julie S., Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch, Claire Palmgren Palmgren, Claire 284

14 Communicating about xenotransplantation: models and scenarios / Wändi Bruine de Bruin Bruin, Wändi Bruine de, Ümit Güvenç Güvenç, Ümit, Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch, Christopher M. Armstrong Armstrong, Christopher M., Denise Caruso Caruso, Denise 303

Part V Aiding individual risk decisions 321

15 What do patients want? Help in making effective choices-a patient's perspective / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 323

16 Giving advice: decision theory perspectives on sexual assault / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 327

17 Sticky decisions: peanut butter m a time of Salmonella / Gulbanu Kaptan Kaptan, Gulbanu, Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch 351

Part VI Aiding public risk decisions 361

18 A multi-channel stakeholder consultation process for transmission deregulation / Robin Gregory Gregory, Robin, Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch, Sarah Thome Thome, Sarah, Gordon Butte Butte, Gordon 363

19 The science and practice of risk ranking / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch, Granger Morgan Morgan, Granger 379

20 Counting casualties: a framework for respectful, useful records / Baruch Fischhoff Fischhoff, Baruch, Scott Atran Atran, Scott, Noam Fischhoff Fischhoff, Noam 390.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN:

9781849714426

1849714428

9781849714433

1849714436

9780203140710

0203140710

OCLC:

730403903