Programming for peace : computer-aided methods for international conflict resolution and prevention / edited by Robert Trappl.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Trappl, Robert.

Series:

Advances in group decision and negotiation ; v. 2.

Advances in group decision and negotiation ; v. 2

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

War--Computer simulation.

War.

Peace--Computer simulation.

Peace.

Conflict management--Computer simulation.

Conflict management.

Computer simulation.

Physical Description:

viii, 463 pages : illustrations (some color) ; 25 cm.

Place of Publication:

Dordrecht : Springer, [2006]

Summary:

Sadly enough, war, conflicts and terrorism appear to stay with us in the 21st century. But what is our outlook on new methods for preventing and ending them? Present-day hard- and software enables the development of large crisis, conflict, and conflict management databases with many variables, sometimes with automated updates, statistical analyses of a high complexity, elaborate simulation models, and even interactive uses of these databases.

In this book, these methods are presented, further developed, and applied in relation to the main issue: the resolution and prevention of intra- and international conflicts. Conflicts are a worldwide phenomenon. Therefore, internationally leading researchers from the USA, Austria, Canada, Germany, New Zealand and Switzerland have contributed.

This book is for students and scientists in international relations and political sciences, and decision makers or their advisers in national and international bodies, both governmental and non-governmental.

Contents:

Conflict Resolution by Democracies and Dictatorships: Are Democracies Better in Resolving Conflicts? / Frank R. Pfetsch 11

Trade Liberalization and Political Instability in Developing Countries / Margit Bussmann, Harald Scheuthle, Gerald Schneider 49

Computer Assisted Early Warning - the FAST Example / Heinz Krummenacher 71

Country Indicators for Foreign Policy / David Carment, Caroline Delany, Susan Ampleford, George Conway, Angelica Ospina 81

The Confman.2002 Data Set / Jacob Bercovitch, Robert Trappl 115

Events, Patterns, and Analysis / Devika Subramanian, Richard J. Stoll 145

Forecasting Conflict in the Balkans using Hidden Markov Models / Philip A. Schrodt 161

Neural Computation for International Conflict Management / Georg Dorffner, Jurgen Rattenberger, Erik Hortnagl, Jacob Bercovitch, Robert Trappl 185

Modeling International Negotiation / Daniel Druckman, Richard Harris, Johannes Furnkranz 227

Machine Learning Methods for Better Understanding, Resolving, and Preventing International Conflicts / Robert Trappl, Erik Hortnagl, Jurgen Rattenberger, Nicolas Schwank, Jacob Bercovitch 251

New Methods for Conflict Data / Will Lowe 321

Information, Power, and War / William Reed 335

Modeling Effects of Emotion and Personality on Political Decision-Making / Eva Hudlicka 355

Peacemaker 2020 / Kirstie Bellman 413

Concluding Remarks: And Terrorism? / Robert Trappl 441.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references and indexes.

ISBN:

1402043775

OCLC:

63764074

Publisher Number:

9781402043772

Online:

Publisher description