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Radiative forcing of climate change : expanding the concept and addressing uncertainties / Committee on Radiative Forcing Effects on Climate, Climate Research Committee, Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council of the National Academies.

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Van Pelt Library QC981.8.C5 R335 2005
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Format:
Book
Contributor:
National Research Council (U.S.). Committee on Radiative Forcing Effects on Climate.
National Research Council (U.S.). Climate Research Committee.
Language:
English
Subjects (All):
Climatic changes.
Greenhouse gases--Environmental aspects.
Greenhouse gases.
Greenhouse effect, Atmospheric.
Physical Description:
xiv, 207 pages : illustrations, maps (some color) ; 23 cm
Place of Publication:
Washington, DC : National Academies Press, [2005]
Contents:
Earth's Climate System 12
Radiative Forcing: Perturbation to Earth's Energy Budget 16
Theoretical Development of the Radiative Forcing Concept 19
The Radiative Forcing Concept and Climate Policy 23
2 State of Scientific Understanding 28
Well-Mixed Greenhouse Gases 30
Tropospheric and Stratospheric Ozone 32
Direct Effect of Aerosols 34
Indirect Effect of Aerosols 39
Land-Cover and Land-Use Changes 44
Solar Forcing 49
Volcanic Eruptions 57
Ocean Color 59
Teleconnections and Radiative Forcing 60
3 Radiative Forcing over Earth's History 63
Geological Timescales 63
Glacial-Interglacial Timescales 70
Holocene 71
Last 1000 Years 75
Last 25 Years 80
4 Rethinking the Global Radiative Forcing Concept 83
The Current Concept 83
Global Mean Radiative Forcing with Adjusted Tropospheric Temperatures 87
Global Mean Radiative Forcing at the Surface 89
Regional Radiative Forcing 92
Regional Nonradiative Forcing 93
Ocean Heat Content 98
5 Uncertainties Associated with Future Climate Forcings 100
Future Emissions of Greenhouse Gases and Aerosols 100
Solar Variability 113
Land-Use and Land-Cover Change 113
Abrupt Climate Change 115
6 Research Approaches to Furthering Understanding 117
Observations of Radiative Forcing and Response 117
Laboratory and Process Studies for Aerosols 132
Atmospheric Reanalysis and Data Assimilation 133
Relating Concentrations of Greenhouse Gases and Aerosols to Sources 134
Climate Forcing and Response over Earth's History 138
Climate Models 140
7 Recommendations 144
Expanding the Radiative Forcing Concept 145
Addressing Key Uncertainties 148
Improving the Observational Record 152
Addressing Policy Needs 155
A Biographical Sketches of Committee Members and Staff 191
B Statement of Task 197.
Notes:
Includes bibliographical references (pages 159-190).
ISBN:
0309095069
0309546885
OCLC:
59765839

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