The missile defense equation : factors for decision making / Peter J. Mantle.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Mantle, Peter J.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Ballistic missile defenses--Evaluation.

Ballistic missile defenses.

Cruise missile defenses--Evaluation.

Cruise missile defenses.

Air defenses--Evaluation.

Air defenses.

Armed Forces--Procurement--Decision making.

Armed Forces.

Armed Forces--Procurement.

Decision making.

Evaluation.

Physical Description:

xvii, 450 pages : illustrations, maps ; 24 cm + 1 CD-ROM (4 3/4 in.)

Place of Publication:

Reston, Va. : American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics, 2004.

Contents:

Chapter 1 Making Decisions 1

Difficulty in Making Decisions 1

Performance, Cost, Schedule, and Risk 4

Chapter 2 Missile Threat 7

Historical Background 7

Definition of Ballistic Missile and Cruise Missile 8

Dawn of the Missile Age 16

Missile Development in the Latter Half of the 20th Century 18

Casualties of War 31

Comment on Strategic and Tactical Categorization 32

Growth in Ballistic Missile Range 33

Growth in Ballistic Missile Payload 34

Improvement in Missile Accuracy 34

Cruise-Missile Weight and Speed Trends 35

Mach Number and Speed 40

Speed of Ballistic Missiles 41

Capsule Comparison of Ballistic and Cruise Missiles 43

Threat Distances 46

Cautionary Note on Threat Distances 46

Chapter 3 Deciding on the Defense 51

Role of Advancing Technology 54

Military Priorities and Civilian Priorities 54

Makeup of Missile Defense Systems 55

Aim of the Defense 57

Question of the Correct Measure of Defense 76

Chapter 4 Performance 79

Defense in Depth 81

Layered Defense 81

Defense Segments for Missile Defense 83

Performance Requirements 84

Defended Footprint 108

Some Other Constraints Limiting Size of Defended Footprint Areas 142

System Performance Improvement with Component Changes 146

Probability of Survival in Defended Footprint Area 151

Boost-Phase and Ascent-Phase Intercept 158

BM/C[superscript 3] and Early Warning 167

BM/C[superscript 3] System for Missile Defense and Terrorist Defense 172

Discrimination 173

Special Topics of Interest 182

Chapter 5 Cost 187

Cost Related to Budgets 188

Life-Cycle Cost 198

Component Costs 201

Illustrative Defense System Costs 226

Operating and Support System Costs 237

Architecture Costs 237

Cost Sensitivity Analyses 245

Chapter 6 Schedule 253

Brief Overview of Acquisition Policy 253

So When Does the Schedule Begin? 263

How Long Is the Schedule? 265

Assessment of Some of Today's Missile Programs 268

Some Accelerated International Missile Defense Programs 270

Schedule to Bring a Defense System into Being 272

Acquisition Policy in NATO 275

Acquisition Schedules in France, Germany, and the United Kingdom 276

Chapter 7 Risk 283

Risk-Measurement Models 284

Alternative Approach to Risk Measurement 286

Suggested Risk Categories 291

RDT&E Budget Accounts 294

Chapter 8 Evaluation 299

Formulate the Right Question Before Running the Computer 299

Approach 300

Top-Level Considerations 301

Mathematical Treatment 306

Political and National Interests 320

Impact on National Defense 324

Less-Precise Decision Making 325

Alternative Means of Display 334

Appendix A Some Ballistic Missiles Used by Different Nations 339

Appendix B Some Cruise Missiles Used by Different Nations 347.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references (pages 439-443) and index.

ISBN:

1563476096

OCLC:

53131354