World agriculture : towards 2015/2030 : an FAO perspective / edited by Jelle Bruinsma.

Format:

Book

Contributor:

Bruinsma, Jelle.

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Food supply.

Agriculture--Economic aspects.

Agriculture.

Produce trade.

Sustainable development.

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.

Physical Description:

xii, 432 pages : illustrations ; 30 cm

Place of Publication:

London ; Sterling, Va. : Earthscan, 2003.

Summary:

World agriculture: towards 2015/2030 is FAO's latest assessment of the long-term outlook for the world's food supplies, nutrition and agriculture. It presents the projections and the main messages. The projections cover supply and demand for the major agricultural commodities and sectors, including fisheries and forestry. This analysis forms the basis for a more detailed examination of other factors, such as nutrition and undernourishment, and the implications for international trade. The report also investigates the implications of future supply and demand for the natural resource base and discusses how technology can contribute to more sustainable development. One of the report's main findings is that, if no corrective action is taken, the target set by the World Food Summit in 1996 -- of halving the number of undernourished people by 2015 -- is not going to be met. Nothing short of a massive effort to improve overall development performance will free the developing world of its most pressing food insecurity problems. Making progress towards this target depends on many factors, not least of which are political will and the mobilization of additional resources. Past experience underlines the crucial role of agriculture in the development process, particularly where the majority of the population still depends on this sector for employment and income.

Contents:

Chapter 2 Prospects for food and nutrition

2.1 The broad picture: historical developments and present situation 29

2.2 The outlook for food and nutrition to 2015 and 2030 34

2.3 Structural changes in the commodity composition of food consumption 50

Chapter 3 Prospects for aggregate agriculture and major commodity groups

3.1 Aggregate agriculture: historical trends and prospects 57

3.2 Cereals 64

3.3 Livestock commodities 85

3.4 Oilcrops, vegetable oils and products 98

3.5 Roots, tubers and plantains 107

3.6 Main export commodities of the developing countries 111

Chapter 4 Crop production and natural resource use

4.2 Sources of growth in crop production 124

4.3 Agricultural land 127

4.4 Irrigation and water use 137

4.5 Land-yield combinations for major crops 142

4.6 Input use 148

Chapter 5 Livestock production

5.2 Consumption of livestock products 159

5.3 Production 160

5.4 Major perspective issues and possible policy responses 166

Chapter 6 Forestry

6.2 The present state of forests 178

6.3 Forces shaping forestry and areas of change 179

6.4 Probable changes up to 2015 and 2030 184

6.5 Major perspective issues in world forestry 189

6.6 Where is forestry heading? 192

Chapter 7 Fisheries

7.2 World fisheries at the end of the 1990s 195

7.3 Plausible developments in world fisheries 202

Chapter 8 Agriculture in poverty alleviation and economic development

8.2 Internationally agreed poverty reduction targets 212

8.3 The main international strategies for poverty reduction: a summary assessment 217

8.4 Micro and macro evidence on the impact of undernourishment 221

8.5 Agricultural and rural non-farm growth 226

Chapter 9 Agricultural trade, trade policies and the global food system

9.2 Long-term trends in the pattern of global agricultural trade 233

9.3 The trade policy environment for agriculture 241

9.4 Towards freer trade in agriculture: what is important from a 30-year perspective? 249

9.5 Beyond the traditional trade agenda: emerging long-term trade policy issues 255

Chapter 10 Globalization in food and agriculture

10.1 Globalization as an ongoing process 265

10.2 The main features of globalization and the correlates of success 269

10.3 Some options to integrate developing countries better 288

Chapter 11 Selected issues in agricultural technology

11.1 The scope for yield increases 297

11.2 Technologies in support of sustainable agriculture 303

11.3 Organic agriculture 308

11.4 Agricultural biotechnology 314

11.5 Directions for agricultural research 327

Chapter 12 Agriculture and the environment: changing pressures, solutions and trade-offs

12.2 Major trends and forces 332

12.3 Changing pressures on the environment 333

12.4 Current and emerging solutions 351

12.5 Physical and economic trade-offs 353

Chapter 13 Climate change and agriculture: physical and human dimensions

13.2 Agriculture as a moderator of climate change 358

13.3 Climate change impacts on agriculture 361

13.4 Implications of climate change for food security 364

13.5 Technological and policy options 369

1. Countries and commodities 375

2. Summary methodology of the quantitative analysis and projections 378

3. Statistical tables 383.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references.

ISBN:

9251048355

1844070077

1844070085

OCLC:

52083277