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Change and continuity in the 2000 and 2002 elections / Paul R. Abramson, John H. Aldrich, David W. Rohde.
Van Pelt Library JK526 2000 .A27 2003
Available
- Format:
- Book
- Author/Creator:
- Abramson, Paul R.
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- United States. Congress--Elections, 2000.
- United States.
- United States. Congress--Elections, 2002.
- United States. Congress.
- Presidents--United States--Election--2000.
- Presidents.
- Elections--United States.
- Elections.
- United States--Politics and government--1993-2001.
- Politics and government.
- United States--Politics and government--2001-2009.
- Physical Description:
- xii, 372 pages : illustrations, maps ; 23 cm
- Place of Publication:
- Washington, D.C. : CQ Press, [2003]
- Contents:
- Part 1 The 2000 Presidential Election 1
- 1 The Nomination Struggle 12
- Who Ran 13
- The Rules of the Nomination System 17
- Why Bush Won 23
- Why Gore Won 25
- The Conventions 27
- 2 The General Election Campaign 31
- The Strategic Context and the Candidates' Choices 31
- From Labor Day to the Debates 33
- The Debates: The Republicans Surpass Low Expectations 36
- Final Efforts 38
- Did the Campaign Matter? 43
- 3 The Election Results 46
- The Election Rules 51
- The Pattern of Results 53
- State-by-State Results 56
- Electoral Change in the Postwar South 61
- The Electoral-Vote Balance 63
- Part 2 Voting Behavior in the 2000 Presidential Election 67
- 4 Who Voted? 71
- Turnout from 1828 through 1920 71
- Turnout from 1920 through 2000 74
- Turnout among Social Groups 77
- Why Has Turnout Declined? 84
- Does Low Turnout Matter? 91
- 5 Social Forces and the Vote 96
- How Social Groups Voted in 2000 97
- How Social Groups Voted During the Postwar Years 106
- Why the New Deal Coalition Broke Down 119
- 6 Candidates, Issues, and the Vote 121
- Attitudes toward the Candidates 122
- Retrospective and Prospective Evaluations 128
- The Concerns of the Electorate 130
- Issue Positions and Perceptions 132
- Issue Voting Criteria 135
- Apparent Issue Voting in 2000 139
- 7 Presidential Performance and Candidate Choice 149
- What Is Retrospective Voting? 150
- Evaluations of Government Performance 153
- Economic Evaluations and the Vote for the Incumbent 156
- Evaluations of the Incumbent 161
- The Impact of Retrospective Evaluations 161
- 8 Party Loyalties, Policy Preferences, and the Vote 168
- Party Identification: The Standard View 168
- Party Identification: An Alternative View 169
- Party Identification in the Electorate 170
- Party Identification and the Vote 176
- Policy Preferences and Performance Evaluations 178
- Part 3 The 2000 and 2002 Congressional Elections 193
- 9 Candidates and Outcomes in 2000 198
- Election Outcomes in 2000 198
- Candidates' Resources and Election Outcomes 209
- The 2000 Elections: The Impact on Congress 220
- The 2002 Elections and Beyond 227
- 10 The Congressional Electorate in 2000 238
- Social Forces and the Congressional Vote 238
- Issues and the Congressional Vote 242
- Party Identification and the Congressional Vote 243
- Incumbency and the Congressional Vote 244
- The Congressional Vote as a Referendum 246
- Presidential Coattails and the Congressional Vote 248
- 11 The 2002 Congressional Elections 252
- The Pattern of Outcomes 252
- Assessing Victory and Explaining the Results 254
- National and Local Influences in Congressional Elections 258
- The 2002 Elections: The Impact on Congress 269
- The 2004 Elections and Beyond 273
- Part 4 The 2000 and 2002 Elections in Perspective 279
- 12 The 2000 and 2002 Elections and the Future of American Politics 282
- Prospects for the Democrats 286
- Prospects for the Republicans 290
- Prospects for a New Political Party 293
- Prospects for Continued Electoral Volatility 295.
- Notes:
- Includes bibliographical references (pages 349-358) and index.
- ISBN:
- 1568027427
- OCLC:
- 51647645
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