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La Niña and its impacts : facts and speculation / edited by Michael H. Glantz.
LIBRA GC296.8.L3 L3 2002
Available from offsite location
- Format:
- Book
- Language:
- English
- Subjects (All):
- La Niña Current.
- La Niña Current--Environmental aspects.
- Physical Description:
- xviii, 271 pages : illustrations (some color), maps ; 24 cm
- Place of Publication:
- Tokyo ; New York : United Nations University Press, [2002]
- Summary:
- La Nina, the result of air-sea interaction, can be described as the appearance of cold surface water in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. While people around the globe have become familiar with El Nino and its impacts, its counterpart, La Nina is not as well known. This publication is based on a La Nina Summit held for researchers, forecasters, and users of La Nina forecasts. The purpose of the Summit was to draw attention to the importance of improving our understanding of the La Nina phenomenon, identifying what is known, what is not yet known and what societies need to know in order to prepare for La Nina's impacts. This volume provides the current state of the science of forecasting La Nina as well as case studies of La Nina impacts around the world and in different economic sectors.
- Contents:
- La Nina: An overview of the process / Michael H. Glantz 3
- El Nino, La Nina, and the climate swings of 1997-98: A review / Michael J. McPhaden 25
- Definition(s) of La Nina / James O'Brien 31
- Part 2 Aspects of La Nina
- What constitutes "normal?" / Joseph Tribbia 39
- La Nina teleconnections / George Kiladis 44
- Climate change and the ENSO cycle: Are they linked? / Kevin E. Trenberth 51
- The symmetry issue / Martin Hoerling 57
- Attribution of societal and environmental impacts to specific La Nina and El Nino events / Gerald Meehl 63
- Forecasting the onset of a La Nina episode in 1998 / Nicholas E. Graham 68
- The identification of differences in forecasting El Nino and La Nina / Stephen Zebiak 74
- Monitoring La Nina / Antonio J. Busalacchi 78
- Part 3 Country case studies
- North America
- Energy, economics, and ENSO in the United States / Allan D. Brunner 88
- La Nina from a Canadian agriculture perspective / Ray Garnett 91
- The impact of ENSO on Canadian climate / Amir Shabbar 95
- The effects of ENSO on California precipitation and water supply / Maurice Roos 100
- La Nina impacts on the Pacific Northwest / Nathan Mantua 102
- ENSO forecasts and fisheries / Warren Wooster 116
- La Nina, El Nino, and US Atlantic hurricane damages / Roger A. Pielke, Jr., Christopher W. Landsea 119
- Latin America
- Some effects of La Nina on summer rainfall, water resources, and crops in Argentina / Guillermo J. Berri et al. 124
- La Nina effects in Ecuador / M. Pilar Cornejo-Grunauer 134
- La Nina's impacts in Cuba: The opposite side of the coin? / Lino Naranjo-Diaz 139
- The consequences of cold events for Peru / Norma Ordinola 146
- Africa
- Kenya and ENSO: An observation and La Nina prediction / Peter E.O. Usher 151
- The impacts of cold events on Ethiopia / Tsegay Wolde-Georgis 158
- La Nina and its impacts in South Africa during 1998-2000 / Mark Majodina 168
- Asia and the Pacific
- 1998-99 La Nina in Indonesia: Forecasts and institutional responses / Kamal Kishore, A.R. Subbiah 179
- La Nina and its impact on China's climate / Wang Shao-wu, Wei Gao 186
- Impact of the 1998 La Nina on Indian monsoon rainfall / R.H. Kripalani, Ashwini Kulkarni 190
- The assessment of La Nina impacts and responses in Bangladesh / Ekram Hossain et al. 194
- The influence of La Nina on the rainfall of the Western Pacific / Charles "Chip" Guard 199
- Tropical tunas and the ENSO cycle / Gary Sharp 208
- Part 4 La Nina and the media
- The role of the media in ENSO reporting / Michael H. Glantz 213
- Forecasting ENSO in Australia: The importance of good communication / Tahl Kestin 219
- Awareness of ENSO events in Japan / Mikiyasu Nakayama 223
- Science and the media / John L. Kermond 226
- Part 5 More thoughts on La Nina
- La Nina and an evaluation of current ENSO forecast skill / Anthony G. Barnston 231
- Cold events: Anti-El Nino? / D.E. Harrison, N.K. Larkin 237
- Further thoughts on ENSO / Arun Kumar 242
- Bridging the supply and demand gap in climate forecast production and use / Kenneth Broad 246
- On the perception of probabilistic forecasts / Cecile Penland 253.
- Notes:
- Includes bibliographical references and index.
- ISBN:
- 9280810715
- OCLC:
- 49260689
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