Water in the macro economy : integrating economics and engineering into an analytical model / Hynd Bouhia.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Bouhia, Hynd.

Series:

Ashgate studies in environmental and natural resource economics

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Water-supply--Economic aspects.

Water-supply.

Physical Description:

xxvi, 270 pages : illustrations, maps ; 24 cm

Place of Publication:

Aldershot ; Burlington, Vt. : Ashgate, [2001]

Contents:

2. The Water Environment and National Planning 7

Water in the Economy 7

Priority of the Water Agenda 7

Investments in the Water Sector 8

How does the Water Sector Relate to the Economy as a Whole? 9

Need for a Multi-disciplinary Approach 10

Horizontal and Vertical Inter-linkages in Water Sector Planning 11

Towards Integrated Water Resource Strategies 11

Methodologies for Economic Planning 15

Environmental Accounts and Engineering Techniques 19

Study Focus: Trigger Effects of Water in the Economy 21

An Empirical Example: Morocco 22

3. The Methodology 27

Account Balances 28

Material Balances 28

The Hydrological Balance 28

Water Resource Planning and Management 35

River Basin Approach 36

Water Allocation System 37

Intersectoral Water Allocation 40

Shadow Price of Water 41

Incorporating Uncertainty into the Process 42

Integrating Water into the Macroeconomic System 44

Balancing Water-Related Activities 45

Water as Part of the Production Process of the Economic Sectors 47

Merging the Two Accounts: Water and the Economy 48

Economic Impact Analysis 52

Leontief's Input-Output Analysis 52

Multipliers and Ratios 54

Economy-Wide Value of Water 56

Framework for an Integrated Water Resource Strategy 60

Scenarios for Selected Water Policy Options 60

Towards an Action Plan 63

4. Application: Case Study of Morocco 65

Morocco 66

The Moroccan Economy 67

Overview of the Water Sector in Morocco 68

Water-Stress Situation 68

Oum Er Rbia, Bou Regrag and Sebou River Basins 70

Institutional Framework 74

The Social Account Matrix for Morocco 75

Macro-Economic Integrated Analysis of Hydrology Model (MEIAH) 76

Modeling Approach 77

A User-Friendly Framework 77

The Moroccan Base Scenario 82

Base Scenario Results and Economic Framework 83

Analysis of the River Basin Approach 83

Urban Demand: Domestic and Industry 87

Agricultural Production and Trade 88

Water Accounts for the Base Scenario

Adjustment of Three-Basin Data to National Level 96

Water Input-Output Table for Morocco 105

Water Input-Output Table 114

Closed Matrix to Households 123

Multipliers and Ratios 128

Output Multipliers 128

Income Multipliers 129

Employment Multipliers 136

Water Use Multipliers 137

Macro-Economic Value of Water 139

Economic Effects 139

A Linear Programming Approach 139

Scenario Analysis 140

Sensitivity to Water Availability 141

Economy-Wide Demand Curve 144

Interpretation 146

5. Economic Analysis and Policy Implications 149

Moving Beyond the Scenario of the Present to Evaluate Possible Future Scenarios 149

Sustaining the Environment 150

Environmental Scenario Analysis 151

Domestic Policy Reforms 154

Not All Policy Options Are Analysed Here 155

Cropping-Pattern Policy

Scenario C 158

Global Balance and Inter-Basin Transfers 159

Cost to the Government and Pricing Policies 161

International Policies: Scenarios D and E 162

Scenario D: Free Trade with 50% Freeing of Cropping Patterns 162

Scenario E: The Relationship Among Water, Trade, and Food Security 164

Targeting Priority Investments 165

How Best to Invest a Million DH? 167

Investing in the Water Sector 168

Investing in Agriculture 172

Investing in Industry and Services 173

Choice of Investments 176

Strategic Conclusions 176

6. Conclusions and Future Development 179

Implementation of the MEIAH Model 182

What Is the Model and Who Is It For? 182

How Can Such a Model Be Used? 183

Application of the Model to other Countries 184

Future Developments 184

For MEIAH as Applied to Morocco 184

Limitations of the Input-Output Model 185

Onward Creation of a Water CGE Model 186

Appendix 2 The MEAIH-1 Model: A Decision Support System 217

Appendix 3 Background on the Input-Output Table Used in MEIAH, and on Parallel Work by Others 237

Appendix 4 Dealing with Uncertainty in Policy Decisions 247.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references.

ISBN:

0754614948

OCLC:

45338993