Analyzing repeated surveys / Glenn Firebaugh.

Format:

Book

Author/Creator:

Firebaugh, Glenn.

Series:

Quantitative applications in the social sciences ; no. 07-115.

Quantitative applications in the social sciences ; no. 07-115

Language:

English

Subjects (All):

Social surveys.

Social surveys--Methodology.

Change (Psychology).

Physical Description:

vii, 72 pages ; 22 cm.

Place of Publication:

Thousand Oaks, Calif. : Sage Publications, [1997]

Summary:

Repeated surveys--a technique for asking the same questions to different samples of people--presents researchers with an opportunity to analyze changes in society as a whole. Analyzing Repeated Surveys begins with a thoughtful discussion of the classic issue of how to separate cohort, period, and age effects. It then covers methods for modeling aggregate trends, two methods for estimating cohort replacement's contribution to aggregate trends, a decomposition model for clarifying how microchange contributes to aggregate change, and simple models that are useful for the assessment of changing individual-level effects. Designed for readers with a fundamental background in regression analysis, this book uses illustrative examples and clear prose to provide readers with simple but effective tools for exploiting the repetition in repeated surveys.

Contents:

Repeated Surveys: Same Questions, Different Samples 1

Repeated Surveys Versus Panel Surveys 2

Analytic Designs for Repeated Surveys 4

A Note on Terminology 5

2. Distinguishing Age, Period, and Cohort Effects 6

Age, Period, and Cohort Effects 6

The Identification Problem 8

Strategies for Overcoming the Identification Problem 9

3. Aggregate Trends 12

Smoothing Trends 12

Group Differences in Trends: Convergence and Divergence 14

Empirical Example of the Divergence Model: Testing the Age Polarization Thesis 17

4. Decomposing Aggregate Trends 20

Intracohort Change Versus Overall Change 21

Linear Decomposition 23

Empirical Example: Trend in Antiblack Prejudice 26

Algebraic Decomposition 27

Empirical Example: Trend in Antiblack Prejudice Revisited 29

When Does Aggregate Change Outpace Individual Change? 29

Empirical Example of the Rule: Gender Role Attitudes 32

5. A General Model for Decomposing Aggregate Change 35

The Model 36

Multivariate Decomposition 39

Example: Declining Voter Turnout in the United States 40

6. Detecting Change in Individual-Level Relationships 42

The Changing-Parameter Model 42

General Form of the Model 43

Significance Tests for Changing Effects 45

Step-by-Step Illustration of Changing-Parameter Analysis: Race and Democratic Party Identification 47

Net Effects of Race on Democratic Party Identification 56

Second Illustration of Changing-Parameter Model: Class and Democratic Party Identification 57

7. Summary: Analyzing Social Change 63.

Notes:

Includes bibliographical references (pages 68-71).

ISBN:

0803973985

OCLC:

35235416